As the Russo-Ukrainian war nears its third year, Ukraine is adopting an 'active defense' strategy for 2024, aimed at reinforcing its military capabilities in anticipation of a more robust counteroffensive in 2025, as reported by the Financial Times. This strategy involves maintaining defensive positions while seeking vulnerabilities in the Russian lines, complemented by long-range air strikes. Intelligence officials from the US and the West project the conflict could extend for another two to five years. The Financial Times has also reported on Ukrainian officials warning of a possible Russian offensive this summer, potentially targeting Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Kyiv. Concurrently, the US is attempting to expedite a $60-billion aid package to Ukraine before January 2025 due to concerns that the upcoming US presidential election could alter the trajectory of American support.
US pushing Kyiv to adopt ‘active defence’ throughout 2024. A Western official told @FT that there is “little prospect of an operational breakthrough by either side in 2024”, and a strategy of “active defence” would allow 🇺🇦to “build out its forces” this year and prepare for 2025
Biden racing to get money to Ukraine before possible Trump victory – CNN A $60-billion aid package for Kiev is being held up by Republicans in Washington’s legislature https://t.co/nLgP8MJb14 https://t.co/o2FcVTtNjO
Even if Ukraine can make it through 2024, it may face collapse in 2025. Attrition and fatigue will define the year ahead, writes @arisroussinos: 👇https://t.co/2dIq3pFzvM
US officials reportedly assess that Ukraine will have to fight a long war and continue efforts to secure as much security assistance as possible for Ukraine before 2025 while expecting that positional fighting may continue in Ukraine until 2026. (1/3) https://t.co/wbkzekWbdB https://t.co/pyFiUHI5jB
Russian forces will be able to determine the location, tempo, and operational requirements of fighting in Ukraine if Ukraine commits itself to defensive operations throughout 2024 as some US officials are reportedly pressing Kyiv to do. 🧵(1/11) https://t.co/v7BJLd80NP https://t.co/j9HluPGXvs
Financial Times: Ukraine on active defensive, Russia may be preparing major new offensive this summer https://t.co/w10LfrKb4I
🇺🇸🇺🇦 U.S INTEL WARNS UKRAINE WAR WILL CONTINUE FOR YEARS U.S. intelligence agencies reportedly believe the Ukraine war will persist for an additional 2 to 5 years. Putin: "We also want to end the conflict as soon as possible, but only on our terms." Zelenskyy: “If one must… https://t.co/eskI3xQAG3 https://t.co/HDNoXPqm0n
FT: Russia is planning a large-scale offensive in Ukraine this summer This was reported by anonymous sources of the Financial Times. According to the journalists, the occupiers will try to seize the remaining territories of four regions of Ukraine - Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and… https://t.co/5GAwRAHlR3
Ukraine cannot win a decisive victory in 2024 But Kyiv and its allies can — and must — find creative ways of intensifying the pressure on Russia while building strength for 2025, writes @halbrands (via @opinion) https://t.co/jmOMUi7DfQ
‘Active defence’: how Ukraine plans to survive 2024 https://t.co/h4zogmBpcj via @ft
Ukraine will spend 2024 working on strengthening its defense industry and preparing for a new counteroffensive in 2025, CNN quoted U.S. officials as saying Both U.S. and European officials do not expect #Ukraine or #Russia to make significant gains on the battlefield in 2024. https://t.co/IsorwA6wYq
To the last Ukrainian: "US and Western intelligence officials believe that Russia’s war in Ukraine is likely to go on for much longer. Assessments vary, but virtually all of them assume that there will be at least two more years of fighting, according to multiple sources… https://t.co/bTQKFFrtVz
To the last Ukrainian: "All eyes on 2025. Ukraine is expected to spend this year working to bolster its defense industrial base and rebuild its forces in anticipation of even more fighting in 2025, the US official said— a strategy that Russia is likely to focus on as well.… https://t.co/gzgsN6NWQi
🇺🇸🇺🇦🚨‼️ “Washington wants to try to send as much aid to Ukraine as possible before January 2025, fearing Donald’s possible re-election” - CNN. According to them, the Biden administration and the Congress began discussing the prospect last year. The White House, NATO… https://t.co/1ekO6CPMPE
US intelligence believes that the war in Ukraine will last another two years, and maybe five, writes CNN. Americans see this scenario regardless of who wins the US presidential election in the fall of 2024.
Western official says that a strategy of “active defence” would allow Ukraine to “build out its forces” this year and prepare for 2025!!!! when a counteroffensive would have a better chance. To rationalize current strategy you have to assume a 4-year war! https://t.co/jXjTxPimAU
Russia may be planning to conduct a large-scale offensive in eastern Ukraine “as early as this summer,” The Financial Times reports, citing Ukrainian officials. The sources said that “another attempt at Kharkiv or even Kyiv was not out of the question.” https://t.co/OGGQSPBuQO
⚡️Russia may be planning a new large-scale offensive along the entire front line, possibly including #Kyiv, for the summer, Ukrainian law enforcement officials, speaking anonymously, shared this information with the Financial Times. However, experts believe that neither side has… https://t.co/NrwxEoPRrl
A sober, measured look at #Ukraine's shift to an 'active defence' strategy & the challenges facing Kyiv in the year ahead from @ChristopherJM in the @FT. https://t.co/E6tDKGsUf9
Ukraine cannot win a decisive victory in 2024. But Kyiv and its Western supporters can — and must — find creative ways of intensifying the pressure on Russia while building strength for 2025, writes @halbrands https://t.co/YoJWvg79CV via @opinion
Interesting article. Unnamed Ukrainian sources are quoted here on a possible Russian summer offensive. https://t.co/OvlKYtCtLd
My @FT Big Read on the state of the Russo-Ukrainian war, as it nears the 3rd year of all-out warfare and the 11th year since Moscow began its invasion. Zelensky has declared a "new phase," while his military is changing to a strategy of "active defense." https://t.co/mmsjGDclHi
‘The western official says that a strategy of “active defence” — holding defensive lines but probing for weak spots to exploit coupled with long-range air strikes — would allow Ukraine to “build out its forces” this year…’ h/t @ChristopherJM https://t.co/tMnd1aI80U
Ukraine cannot win a decisive victory in 2024. But Kyiv and its Western supporters can — and must — find creative ways of intensifying the pressure on Russia while building strength for 2025, writes @halbrands https://t.co/GUY3XMLfdM