The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center has announced a significant shift in weather patterns, predicting the end of the current El Niño phase and the likely development of La Niña by mid-2024. This transition is expected to have a considerable impact on weather across the United States, including a more active Atlantic hurricane season and drier conditions in Southern California. The forecast indicates an 85% chance of moving to an ENSO-neutral state between April and June 2024, with a 60% likelihood of La Niña emerging between June and August. The development of La Niña, associated with weaker wind shear over the Atlantic, fosters an environment conducive to more frequent and stronger hurricanes, particularly during the peak hurricane season from August to October. Additionally, La Niña typically results in drier winter weather for parts of California. This forecast is based on current sea surface temperature trends near the equatorial Pacific, which have continued to weaken, signaling the end of El Niño. The NOAA's latest probabilistic ENSO forecast underscores the high confidence in this transition, marking a significant shift in #ENSO dynamics from #ElNino to #LaNina.
Scientists predict La Niña is coming, which could result in an active Atlantic hurricane season and dry winter weather in parts of California. https://t.co/bYWOmqz8AG
El Niño is quickly dying, and La Niña is expected to emerge in the coming months, which could result in an active Atlantic hurricane season and a dry winter in parts of California. https://t.co/I9RFUIEXqr
LA NIÑA WATCH: Issued today by Climate Prediction Center saying last month, "sea surface temps near equatorial Pacific continued to weaken." 85% chance we transition from El Niño to neutral April-June of this year & 60% chance of a La Niña developing June-August. #LaNina https://t.co/04sa9sal9h
The chance of La Niña developing is high. Here’s why that’s rare — and how it could impact Bay Area and U.S. weather By @edwardsanthonyb https://t.co/tLKDA8U9bi via @sfchronicle
El Niño is quickly dying, and La Niña is expected to emerge in the coming months. Here's how it could impact weather in California and across the U.S. https://t.co/RclsHmNffG
Chance of La Niña developing is high. Here’s why that’s rare and how it could impact our weather: https://t.co/wrBYc9Qrr2
La Nina weather 60% likely to develop from June-August, says US forecaster https://t.co/jCZPPEvR6M https://t.co/s07Dz7biwW
Scientists predict La Niña is coming, which could result in an active Atlantic hurricane season and dry winter weather in parts of California. https://t.co/p38hb3ln72
So long, El Niño, hello La Niña. Today's @NWSCPC update says El Niño is likely out by June, with La Niña likely to develop later this summer. Confidence is unusually high in the transition, and the shift could significantly impact U.S. weather patterns. https://t.co/UDFhDXNKj0
If you don't already know about @NOAAClimate's https://t.co/vbvhh2fe7L, check it out! The latest ENSO blog is out talking about the likely transition from El Nino to La Nina later this year. 👇 #ElNino #climate
NOAA's latest probabilistic ENSO forecast gives 80% chance of #LaNina conditions for peak of Atlantic hurricane season (August-October). La Nina typically increases Atlantic #hurricane activity via decreases in vertical wind shear. NOAA blog post here: https://t.co/GHSqFsZTak https://t.co/vgKtAr0IAV
La Nina weather 60% likely to develop from June-August, says US forecaster #oott https://t.co/8HRhx32YQs
⚠️ LA NINA WEATHER 60% LIKELY TO DEVELOP FROM JUNE-AUGUST, SAYS US FORECASTER Full Story → https://t.co/j3MXsDI6zy A U.S. government weather forecaster expects an about 60% chance of the La Nina weather pattern characterized by unusually cold temperatures in the Pacific Ocean…
With thanks to @NWSCPC, here is an update on the #ENSO Probabilities. Odds favor the development of La Niña for the upcoming fall and winter seasons. In #SoCal, this typically means drier conditions. #CAwx #LaNina https://t.co/ATnQAicnEf
La Niña likely to develop for the peak of hurricane season. Wind shear is typically weaker over the Atlantic during a La Niña pattern which will help produce a more favorable environment for tropical development and strengthening. https://t.co/qYen5oTfRv
A transition from El Niño to #ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024 (85% chance), with the odds of La Niña developing by June-August 2024 (60% chance). An #ElNino Advisory and #LaNina Watch remain in effect. https://t.co/5zlzaZ1aZx https://t.co/wzSCXbdxPa
Seeing some notable cooling along the Equator in the East Pacific (from South America almost all the way to the dateline) as cool anomalies from an earier upwelling Kelvin Wave start to surface. This will help to end the 2023-2024 El Niño over the next month or so. https://t.co/k6OAbvkID1
La Niña (the cool flip-side of El Niño) is (likely) coming: https://t.co/o9lq8arAi6 With that will global temperatures will trend back toward the overall trend line. It's the trend line we should be worried about. The warming will continue until carbon emissions reach zero. https://t.co/LRfz3EcjTr
Here comes the La Nina https://t.co/8lMFWG5c3z