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Trump's Strategy to Refinance $7 Trillion U.S. Debt Amid $36.2 Trillion National Debt May Involve Stock Market Downturn

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Updated Mar 13, 2025, 08:59 PM

Former President Donald Trump is reportedly pursuing strategies that could lead to a downturn in the U.S. stock market as part of a plan to refinance a substantial portion of the national debt. The U.S. faces approximately $7 trillion in debt maturing in the first half of 2025, with a total national debt of $36.2 trillion. Analysts suggest that Trump may be intentionally creating conditions that would lower stock prices, thereby encouraging a reduction in interest rates from the Federal Reserve. This approach, described by some as a potential 'controlled' recession, aims to alleviate the financial burden of refinancing over $9 trillion of U.S. debt. Experts, including Sound Planning Group Inc CEO David Stryzewski, have noted that the administration's strategy may involve accepting short-term economic pain to achieve longer-term financial stability. As of now, over $5 trillion has been erased from U.S. stock values, raising questions about the effectiveness of this approach and its potential impact on the economy.

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Sources

@WhaleFUD

This is likely Trump’s plan 👇 Trump wants lower rates to refinance the U.S. debt, even if it means some short-term pain to bring down inflation. The idea is to get the Fed to cut rates, which would kickstart a new bull market for the rest of his term after the tough times are…

Prof Francois Balloux

@BallouxFrancois

Interesting thread arguing that the Trump administration is trying to engineer a 'controlled' recession. A precedent for this may be Herbert Hoover's administration (1929-1933) which attempted a somewhat similar strategy. It wasn't a success ... https://t.co/nQM0N1V06k

Ran Neuner

@cryptomanran

If this narrative of Trump cooling markets to force the FEDs hand is correct, Trump is looking for a big drop in rates to refinance the debt. He is not looking for 0,25% ! To achieve this, he needs to do real damage. 10% from a stock market top is not real damage and another…