Recent polls show a tight race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in key swing states like North Carolina, Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Trump leads in some polls in Nevada and Michigan, while Biden is ahead in others. The latest data also indicates a close race in Virginia, a traditionally blue state where Trump and Biden are tied according to a Roanoke College poll. National polls suggest a competitive race between the two candidates, with varying leads for each in different surveys.
Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 50% Trump (R): 48% Marist / May 23, 2024 / n=1122 https://t.co/50BQJfQfXs
2024 National GE: Biden 50% (+2) Trump 48% . Trump 44% (+4) Biden 40% Kennedy 8% Stein 3% West 2% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,122 RV, 5/21-23 https://t.co/T3DwovPABO
.@FiveThirtyEight Polling Average (5/30) National π₯ Trump 41.2% (+1.5) π¦ Biden 39.7% π¨ RFK Jr 9.8% May 30, 2020: Biden +5.7 Final average: Biden +8.4 β May 30 2024 vs [May 30, 2020] Florida: Trump +11.2 [Biden +2.6] Texas: Trump +11.0 [Trump +2.9] N. Carolina: Trumpβ¦ https://t.co/Ur5iCQqSbD https://t.co/T102Dot1Se
BIG NEWS: New Poll Finds Trump Tied With Biden in Virginia https://t.co/rgbRuzzooG
Who will win the presidential election - odds by @Polymarket π΄ Trump 56% π΅ Biden 37% π‘ Kennedy 2% https://t.co/ciDr2oOjiO https://t.co/yXTbrJ847v
2024 National GE: Biden 50% (+2) Trump 48% .@maristpoll/@NPR/@NewsHour, 1,122 RV, 5/21-23 https://t.co/T3DwovPABO
SHOCK POLL: President Trump Tied with Biden in Virginia https://t.co/XuYRfdHM5c https://t.co/6JHqblJUUK
BIG NEWS: New Poll Finds Trump Tied With Biden in Virginia via @gatewaypundit https://t.co/rGFgRLFXDS
BIG NEWS: New Poll Finds Trump Tied With Biden in Virginia A new poll from Roanoke College finds Donald Trump tied with Joe Biden in Virginia. This is the real reason that Democrats and the media are so desperate to put Trump in jail. He is outperforming recent Republican⦠https://t.co/Qlcdlrf2nY
#New General Election Poll π΄ Trump 44% (+4) π΅ Biden 40% π‘ Kennedy 8% Marist #6 - 1122 RV - 5/23
#New General Election Poll π΅ Biden 50% (+2) π΄ Trump 48% Marist #6 - 1122 RV - 5/23
πΊπ² 2024 GE: NPR/Marist [among registered voters who definitely plan to vote] π¦ Biden: 50% [-2] π₯ Trump: 49% [+2] Trends β’ April 18: Biden +6 β’ April 25: Biden +5 β’ May 22: Biden +1 ββ π₯ Trump 46% [+3] π¦ Biden 43% [-3] π¨ RFK Jr 5% [-3] π¨ West 2% [=] π© Stein 2% [=]β¦ https://t.co/eTXUqyI77s https://t.co/qBuy7zSnfW
π NPR/Marist: Independent voters π₯ Trump: 54% (+12) π¦ Biden: 42% Trump's largest lead among independents ever by NPR/Marist College β π₯ Trump: 44% (+16) π¦ Biden: 28% π¨ RFK Jr: 17% π© West: 4% π¨ West: 3% 538: #6 (2.9/3.0) | 5/21-23 | RVs https://t.co/bJmOLmkbM7 https://t.co/qBuy7zSnfW
π NATIONAL POLL: NPR/Marist π¦ Biden 50% [=] π₯ Trump 48% [=] Definitely voting π¦ Biden 50% [-2] π₯ Trump 49% [+2] ββ π₯ Trump 44% [+2] π¦ Biden 40% [-2] π¨ RFK Jr 8% [-3] π© Stein 3% [+1] π¨ West 2% [=] Definitely voting π₯ Trump 46% [+3] π¦ Biden 43% [-3] π¨ RFK Jr 5%β¦ https://t.co/VnBX0ycryD
NEW Marist/NPR/PBS poll (A+) Registered voters π¦ Biden 50% π₯ Trump 48% Definitely voting in 2024 π¦ Biden 50% π₯ Trump 49% Registered voters π₯ Trump 44% π¦ Biden 40% π¨ Kennedy 8% Definitely voting in 2024 π₯ Trump 46% π¦ Biden 43% π¨ Kennedy 5%
Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 44% Biden (D): 42% Morning Consult / May 29, 2024 / n=10,721
Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 43% Biden (D): 42% Trump (R): 39% Biden (D): 37% Kennedy (I): 9% Stein (G): 2% West (I): 2% Leger / May 26, 2024 / n=883 https://t.co/IoxeMaRGHo
Trump and Biden TIED in Virginia -- only 2% undecided https://t.co/uxpOriX8VH
The final Roanoke College poll for 2020 was Biden 53%, Trump 42%. That was a marginal improvement for Trump versus their previous poll two weeks earlier (Biden 53%, Trump 38%). So, these dismissals I'm seeing of their new poll showing a tie, is copium.
2024 National GE: Donald Trump 44% (+2) Joe Biden 42% .@MorningConsult, 10,721 RV, 5/26-28 https://t.co/cBMVoDSksF
#New General Election Poll π΄ Trump 44% π΅ Biden 42% Independent π΄ Trump 37% π΅ Biden 33% Morning Consult #116 - 10,721 RV - 5/28
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @MorningConsult π₯ Trump: 44% [=] π¦ Biden: 42% [-1] πͺ Other: 9% [+/- change vs May 17-19] β April 21: Biden +1 April 28: Tie May 28: Trump+2 β #116 (1.8/3.0) | 10,721 RV | May 26-28 https://t.co/RI5a7YGIdy https://t.co/v2MIsO3wiy
BREAKING: Former President Donald Trump and Joe Biden are tied in Virginia, a state that has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 2004, according to a new Roanoke College Poll about Novemberβs election.
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 56% (+19) Joe Biden 37% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% https://t.co/ifkXXe8hDH https://t.co/7lt7cKhkQM https://t.co/8ttB9JY5O8
Biden and Trump tied in Virginia putting blue state βin playβ: Roanoke College Poll https://t.co/iofGbdw3x4
Virginia - Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 42% Trump (R): 42% Biden (D): 40% Trump (R): 38% Kenendy (I): 8% Stein (G): 3% Roanoke College / May 21, 2024 / n=711 https://t.co/IBt2ZE3j5H
Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 41% Biden (D): 40% Kennedy (I): 4% YouGov / May 28, 2024 / n=1547 https://t.co/BhOVqoZQKp
Trump tied with Biden in Virginia. https://t.co/cJjd08DFj2 https://t.co/YERfNKc1wJ
Biden won Virginia by +10 points in 2020. https://t.co/OlOrpqLpIZ
Trump, Biden tied in deep-blue Virginia, shocking poll shows https://t.co/2gFRSXt6Gc https://t.co/OtCjchajCt
πΊπ² 2024 GE: YouGov/Economist π₯ Trump 41% [=] π¦ Biden 40% [=] π¨ RFK Jr 4% [-1] πͺ Other 3% β¬ Undecided 10% β Generic Ballot π¦ DEM 44% [-2] π₯ GOP 42% [=] β Biden job approval π΅ Approve 40% [+1] π Disapprove 58% [=] [+/- change vs May 19-21] β Extremely + Veryβ¦ https://t.co/uc1ZCakDRc
.@DecisionDeskHQ πΊπ² Presidential Forecast (chance of winning the presidency) π₯ Trump: 58% π¦ Biden: 42% β EC Forecast π₯ Trump: 282 π¦ Biden: 256 β Swing States (chance of winning) NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 68% π¦ Biden: 32% GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 63% π¦ Biden: 37% . ARIZONA π₯β¦ https://t.co/A0ddmg5J0i
Trump and Biden are tied in Virginia according to a poll released today. Biden won Virginia by ten points in 2020. Trump team has said they see Virginia and Minnesota as winnable based on their polling. Neither state is considered a battleground by national mediaβ¦yet. https://t.co/WrduZKEJA4
#New General Election Poll π΄ Trump 41% (+1) π΅ Biden 40% YouGov (Economist) #4 - 1547 RV - 5/28
π¨ Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump TIED in Virginia https://t.co/SKKWDgHAEo
π VIRGINIA GE: @RoanokeCollege π¦ Biden: 42% π₯ Trump: 42% πͺ Other: 14% --- π¦ Biden: 40% π₯ Trump: 38% π¨ RFK Jr: 8% π© Stein: 3% π¨ West: 1% πͺ Other: 8% β Job Approval Gov. Youngkin: 52-40 (+12) Pres. Biden: 35-61 (-26) β 538: #31 (2.6/3.0) | 5/12-21 | 711 LV | Β±4.24%β¦ https://t.co/ZRYQsKQtxV
It is absolutely incredible that Joe Biden and Donald Trump are tied in Virginia. Think about what this says about support for Biden across the country. https://t.co/OFesZhnwGk
"President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are tied (42%-42%) in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia" https://t.co/OFesZhnwGk
Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia https://t.co/Q8nHg4lNN5
Some folks dragged me May 7 for posting a Trump camp McLaughlin poll, which indicated Biden led Trump by just 1 in Virginia. Well, hereβs an independent Roanoke poll showing a tie race in the state https://t.co/ghJLQBV5Hu https://t.co/MAyY5sYcLR https://t.co/ntbCNa6EOM
#New General Election Poll - Virginia π΄ Trump 42% π΅ Biden 42% Biden won in 2020 with a 10% margin! Roanoke #31 - 711 LV - 5/21
PRESIDENT TRUMP IS EXPANDING THE ELECTORAL MAP! Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia https://t.co/4gGPPFvTYA
π¨Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginiaπ¨ https://t.co/zXbNrqZkwG
2024 #NE02 GE: Biden 42% (+5) Trump 37% Kennedy 13% Iron Light/@LeagueOfWorkers, 400 LV, 5/17-22 https://t.co/4taOax4jzn
2024 National GE: Trump (R) 46% (+2) Biden (D) 44% . Trump (R) 42% (+4) Biden (D) 38% Kennedy (I) 9% Stein (G) 2% West (I) 2% Mapstead (L) 1% McLaughlin & Associates/Lawrence Kadish, 1,000 LV, 5/21-23 https://t.co/oZVrpUK9yX https://t.co/B85yzCod0Y
Michigan Polling: Presidential: Trump (R): 49% Biden (D): 47% Trump (R): 46% Biden (D): 45% Kennedy (I): 5% Senate: Slotkin (D): 40% Rogers (R): 36% Mitchell Research / May 21, 2024 / n=697 https://t.co/bp3XslqZA4
Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 46% Biden (D): 44% McLaughlin / May 23, 2024 / n=1000 (Republican Pollster) https://t.co/8ps9XIap5p
Nevada - Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 50% Trump (R): 46% Trump (R): 37% Biden (D): 34% Kennedy (I): 15% Iron Light / May 21, 2024 / n=600 (Republican Commissioner) https://t.co/NyYhtbf5Ny
#New General Election Poll - Nevada π΄ Trump 37% (+4) π΅ Biden 34% π‘ Kennedy 15% Iron Light (π΄) - 600 LV - 5/21
#New general Election Poll π΄ Trump 46% (+2) π΅ Biden 44% McLaughlin #277 - 1000 LV - 5/23
πΊπ² 2024 GE: @LeagueOfWorkers (R) NEVADA π₯ Trump: 37% π¦ Biden: 34% π¨ RFK Jr: 15% β¬ Undecided: 14% β NE-2 π¦ Biden: 42% π₯ Trump: 37% π¨ RFK Jr: 13% β¬ Undecided: 9% β β’ Iron Light Intelligence | NV n=600 LV β’ NE-2 n=400 LV (Β±5%) | May 17-22 https://t.co/5g6pSFKJh1 https://t.co/2gnaW9ohdw
#New General Election Poll - Nevada π΅ Biden 50% π΄ Trump 46% π΄ Trump 37% (+4) π΅ Biden 34% π‘ Kennedy 15% Iron Light (π΄) - 600 LV - 5/21
#New General Election Poll - Nevada π΅ Biden 50% π΄ Trump 46% Iron Light (π΄) - 600 LV - 5/21
.@Polymarket - πΊπ² Presidential Winner April 15 (Manhattan Trial start date) π₯ Trump 46% (+1) π¦ Biden 45% π¨ RFK Jr 3% TODAY π₯ Trump 56% (+19) π¦ Biden 37% π¨ RFK Jr 2% https://t.co/YEgYhWX4FO https://t.co/90zWBq4Yj9
Political odds by @Polymarket Will RFK Jr debate Biden/Trump No 74% Yes 38% Will Biden drop out No 84% Yes 17% House control after the election π΅ DEM 57% π΄ GOP 44% https://t.co/pLiHA0aS58 https://t.co/NVwqQirTQO
#NEW Michigan @MIRSnews Poll: Trump 49% (+2) Biden 47% . Trump 46% (+1) Biden 45% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% West 1% . Senate: Slotkin (D) 40% (+4) Rogers (R) 36% Other 7% Undecided 17% . Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 47% (+3) Democrats 44% . Who do you think can best solve⦠https://t.co/gYqZRnyk4Z
2024 Michigan GE: Trump 49% (+2) Biden 47% . Trump 46% (+2) Biden 45% Kennedy 5% Stein 1% West 1% Mitchell Research/@MIRSnews, 697 LV, 5/20-21 https://t.co/zNv9XUKiXN
π MICHIGAN GE: @MIRSnews π₯ Trump: 49% π¦ Biden: 47% . π₯ Trump: 46% π¦ Biden: 45% π¨ RFK Jr: 5% π© Stein: 1% π¨ West: 1% β Senate π¦ Slotkin: 40% π₯ Rogers: 36% β¬ Undecided: 24% β Generic Ballot π₯ GOP: 47% π¦ DEM: 44% β β’ Mitchell Research | 538: #77 (2.0/3.0) β’ Mayβ¦ https://t.co/1zMbCkjoMA
Hey @BidenHQ: Donald Trump is likely going to win because cause you clowns spent too much time appeasing the far left, playing identity politics, and belittling centrist Democrats as βfar rightβ Trump MAGA supporters. You screwed up the Democratic Party, alienated the centrists,β¦ https://t.co/kw8EJaEacf
Nevada - Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 47% Biden (D): 44% Trump (R): 40% Biden (D): 37% Kennedy (I): 9% West (I): 2% Tyson Group / May 25, 2024 / n=601 https://t.co/4IYsn31oFs
NEW: General Election Poll - Nevada π₯ Trump 40% (+3) π¦ Biden 37% Tyson Group #225 - 601 LV - 5/25
#New General Election Poll - Nevada π΄ Trump 40% (+3) π΅ Biden 37% Tyson Group #225 - 601 LV - 5/25
.@Polymarket - 2024 Election Odds President π₯ Trump: 56% π¦ Biden: 37% π¨ RFK Jr: 2% β Senate π₯ GOP: 73% π¦ DEM: 27% β House π¦ DEM: 56% π₯ GOP: 44% β Balance of Power odds β’ Republican sweep: 40% β’ Democratic sweep: 23% β’ D Pres, R Senate, D House: 18% β’ R Pres, Rβ¦ https://t.co/OfD1B6AWXw https://t.co/LH4lObX6Di
π NEVADA GE: @TheTysonGroup π₯ Trump: 47% π¦ Biden: 44% β¬ Undecided: 9% --- π₯ Trump: 40% π¦ Biden: 37% π¨ RFK Jr: 9% π¨ West: 2% π© Stein: 1% β¬ Undecided: 11% β Senate π¦ Rosen: 47% π₯ Brown: 33% π¨ Cunningham: 4% β¬ Undecided: 16% β Job Approval Gov. Lombardo: 51-30 (+21)β¦ https://t.co/kJlCmG2tu0
.@Polymarket - Swing States Odds (5/27) NORTH CAROLINA π₯ Trump: 76% π¦ Biden: 24% . GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 65% π¦ Biden: 35% . NEVADA π₯ Trump: 62% π¦ Biden: 38% . ARIZONA π₯ Trump: 61% π¦ Biden: 39% . PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Biden: 51% π₯ Trump: 49% . MICHIGAN π¦ Biden: 54% π₯ Trump:β¦ https://t.co/he7nCsGXzt https://t.co/lGI8puLoJf
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner April 18 π¦ Biden 45% (+2) π₯ Trump 43% . May 27 π₯ Trump 56% (+19) π¦ Biden 37% Net 21 point swing towards Trump https://t.co/D4nhNtXdZR https://t.co/1Cys5p0xpv https://t.co/IPZ45EPnDQ
.@Polymarket - Presidential Election Winner π₯ Trump 56% (+19) π¦ Biden 37% π¨ RFK Jr 2% Trump's greatest lead since March 8. https://t.co/K11eDstBky https://t.co/8wGedCsOEb https://t.co/xjNcReR4GR
Presidential Polling: Trump (R): 36% Biden (D): 35% Trump (R): 35% Biden (D): 33% Kennedy (I): 13% Ipsos / May 14, 2024 / n=3934 https://t.co/xvSv2CN54K
.@Polymarket - 2024 Presidential Election Winner: Donald Trump 56% (+18) Joe Biden 38% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% https://t.co/ifkXXe8Ptf https://t.co/im3RaqnMsS https://t.co/4P5xl3WXYs
.@Polymarket - Presidential Winner (shift since April 18) π₯ Trump 56% (+13) π¦ Biden 38% (-7) π¨ RFK Jr 2% (-2) β Balance of power odds β’ Republican sweep: 40% (+4) β’ Democratic sweep: 23% β’ D Pres, R Senate, D House: 18% β’ R Pres, R Senate, D House: 15% β’ D Pres, Rβ¦ https://t.co/u34Od58jW8 https://t.co/8bmAtVAQDm