Recent polling data indicates a highly competitive race between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump in key battleground states and New Hampshire. A new poll by NHJournal/Praecones Analytica shows Trump and Biden virtually tied in New Hampshire with 36.6% and 36.5% respectively, while Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garners 14.6%. The poll surveyed 862 registered voters between May 15-20. Additionally, a Harvard poll reveals Trump leading Biden by six points, particularly among independent voters. Swing state polls from Bloomberg/Morning Consult show Trump gaining ground in several states, including Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, but Biden maintains a slight lead in Michigan. The presence of RFK Jr. as a third-party candidate is expected to impact Biden's voter base, with experts predicting he could draw 2-3% of the vote from Biden. The competitive polling landscape underscores the narrow path Biden faces for reelection, particularly in the Rust Belt battlegrounds and the Sun Belt states.
Regardless of which presidential candidate you prefer, who do you think is more likely to win a debate between the two of them? Trump 45% (+12) Biden 33% .@YouGovAmerica/@TheEconomist, 1,560 RV, 5/19-21 https://t.co/4VeAjlE6i4 https://t.co/OuRyDKV4Fd
Trump widens lead over Biden in key battleground states: Poll https://t.co/nHcajDYIvm
Nicole Shanahan, RFK Jr's running mate and one his his largest donors, reportedly received $1 billion in her divorce from Google's Sergey Brin after rumored Elon Musk affair https://t.co/UYV5DVF879
New York Times publishes fresh details on the alleged affair that Elon Musk and Nicole Shanahan both deny https://t.co/8buTEh1qxV
Best battleground state polls for Biden this year. Leads in MI, PA, WI in 2 ways, AZ/GA/NC/NV all within margin of error. https://t.co/CPnVrzW7MA
New affair allegations: Elon Musk, Nicole Shanahan took ketamine and ‘disappeared’ at Miami party, New York Times reports https://t.co/SN7yuafzUi
New Poll Shakes Up The Presidential Race https://t.co/QdJ1BYwAyX
New poll dives into Trump-Biden rematch with one month until first debate https://t.co/KCBOLuCuqr
Former President Donald #Trump is leading President #Biden in the polls for the November elections, with Republicans maintaining their lead even with the addition of third-party candidate Robert F. #Kennedy Jr. https://t.co/wcWdKd8JGz
Biden's Path To Victory Lies In These Key Swing States https://t.co/yxpmwM5KpG
NY Times Reports on Personal Life of RFK Jr.'s Running Mate — Including Past Drug Use and Musk Affair https://t.co/s8G7nvo332
Joe Biden is now leading in only one of seven crucial swing states. Report from UnHerd 👇 https://t.co/v7g1UG51j6
Quinnipiac: % of registered voters who are very/somewhat likely to change their mind about voting for President. • RFK Jr voters: 53% (11% very likely) • Biden voters: 15% (3% very likely) • Trump voters: 8% (0% very likely) 538: #19 (2.8/3.0) | 1,374 RV | 5/16-20 https://t.co/OLXDezSSKb https://t.co/v6zu0diDxK
New polling finds Donald Trump and Joe Biden are close in every swing state, but Biden has gained significant ground since April. https://t.co/2eUDNV0qYO
Trump Stuns The Biden Campaign, Tied In Blue State https://t.co/3iXas4WdvV
President Trump LEADS in swing state polling! https://t.co/hzjB8Ov9Br
A new slate of swing-state polls shows more good news for Donald Trump, and more bad news for President Biden. | @jimgeraghty https://t.co/Le6l5sX82k
New poll shows Trump-Biden rematch tightening in key swing states https://t.co/tUokkH2B0G
Polling Sets Off Fresh Alarm Bells For Biden “The poll found Trump leading in five out of six swing states, with Wisconsin the lone place where Biden is ahead. More concerning for Biden is that the poll found the president is losing support among young voters and Black and… https://t.co/XyCjrdsEl3
"Biden’s June debate against Trump is a gamble — he is struggling in key states", writes @sarahbaxterstm Read more: https://t.co/5G7dJyVC8l https://t.co/59RbEfoxPW
Pshew! Now how about an article or two like this about RFK Jr., which would show a much longer history of personal dysfunction? ‘Silicon Valley Princess’: Inside the Life of Nicole Shanahan, R.F.K. Jr.’s Running Mate @rebeccadobrien @peterbakernyt https://t.co/dE6jg31Ddf
This is the “crowd” that Crooked Joe Biden pulled yesterday in New Hampshire… Democrats must be panicking. New poll came out earlier this week that showed Trump and Biden tied in the Granite State. https://t.co/nVq173zvR2
Donald Trump scores poll boost in five critical battleground states https://t.co/Wp4AMzJyxK https://t.co/i7EJJEeGiq
And here's why Democrats will be working to keep @RobertKennedyJr off Nevada's ballot. New Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll finds Trump leads @JoeBiden by 5 if RFK and other third parties are on the ballot. But Trump and Biden are tied in a head-to-head match-up. https://t.co/I3gcvfVtth
So @KirstenGrind's reporting on Nicole Shanahan's affair with Elon Musk has now passed the legal teams at both the WSJ and the NYT "Ms. Shanahan and Mr. Brin separated after she had a sexual encounter with Elon Musk in 2021, three of the people said." https://t.co/t9PHCsk8oi
New Poll Shows Trump-Biden Rematch Tightening In Key Swing States https://t.co/Ms365wlYUV
.@UMassLowell poll gives @POTUS slight N.H. lead over @POTUS45, 42%-to-36%, just outside margin of error (5.2%) for May 4-14 survey. Robert F. Kennedy had 11%, 2% other, 9% undecided. #fitn #nhpolitics https://t.co/1juNQY0x9J
Inside the life of Nicole Shanahan, 'Silicon Valley princess:' drugs (cocaine and ketamine), affairs (Sergey Brin + Elon Musk), and a $1 billion divorce settlement powering RFK Jr.'s campaign. All the details she's kept from the public here: https://t.co/2ZAMvOkIFT
Big, busy Morning Jolt today: A new slate of swing-state polls shows more good news for Trump , making it more than fair to ask if the president is whistling past the graveyard with his insistence that “the polling data has been wrong all along” and that he’s really running ahead…
Joe Biden packed another stadium last night. A truly massive crowd of a hundred thousand people chanted "Biden! Biden! Biden!" Voters showed their enthusiasm for "FOUR MORE YEARS!" Just kidding. This is who showed up for Biden in New Hampshire 👀 https://t.co/aSY44NUAHk
New poll from @Bloomberg shows Biden and Trump TIED in head-to-head in NV (47%-47%) This comes after NYT poll two weeks ago had Trump up double digits, and shows NV as closer than the swing state average, which has Trump +4 https://t.co/QmdekqyUVh
Best Nevada poll for Biden in awhile (tied), with the rest about the same. Trump leads in five, trails in one: https://t.co/Ui6dGoyobs
‘Silicon Valley Princess’: Inside the Life of Nicole Shanahan, R.F.K. Jr.’s Running Mate https://t.co/Rwkjr6Mc0b
Pa.: Trump +2 Wisc.: Trump +1 Mich.: Biden +1 Ga.: Trump +3 NC: Trump +7 Nev.: Tie Ariz.: Trump +5 Per @bpolitics @MorningConsult surveys https://t.co/kruDEACv51
In deep blue NY, @JoeBiden’s favorables are only 6% higher @TeamTrump & winning poll by just 9% (won by 23% in 20) They tie w independents, Trump winning suburbs, gets 19% black voters & 29% w Latinos. https://t.co/NCmL5V7I2H
In deep blue NY, @JoeBiden’s favorables are only 6% higher @TeamTrump & winning poll by just 9% (lost by 23% in 20) They tie w independents, Trump winning suburbs, gets 19% black voters & 29% w Latinos. https://t.co/NCmL5V7I2H
📊 MC/Bloomberg: April vs ➡️ May shift • Nevada: Trump +8 ➡️ Tie (-8) • Georgia: Trump +6 ➡️ Trump +3 (-3) • Wisconsin: Trump +4 ➡️ Trump +1 (-3) • Arizona: Trump +7 ➡️ Trump +5 (-2) • Michigan: Biden +2 ➡️ Biden +1 (+1) • Pennsylvania: Trump +1 ➡️ Trump +2 (+1) • North… https://t.co/vTUSl8j3Vy https://t.co/R6kLeT7mBp
New batch of Bloomberg/MC swing state polls. Trump loses ground in 5 of 7 states, gains a point in MI and PA: AZ: Trump +5 (-2 vs last poll) GA: Trump +3 (-3) MI: Biden +1 (-1) NV: TIE (-8) NC: Trump +7 (-3) PA: Trump +2 (+1) WI: Trump +1 (-3) https://t.co/TxOWUyPuGG
Election debate between Biden and Trump supporters. https://t.co/XeULmDgHDa
HAHAHA holy shlit. This was the crowd Biden drew in New Hampshire tonight. Paint drying could do better than this. https://t.co/SpDD2eoSSu
This is Biden’s New Hampshire rally. https://t.co/lhTddtBPpF
Trump dominating Biden in battleground polls — can he keep it up? @BreitbartNews editor-at-large @JoelPollak joins @EzraLevant to look at whether Trump can keep building momentum. REPORT: https://t.co/mn2R7Q0vRm https://t.co/IApiuiQC4I
Biden’s event in New Hampshire today. Massive crowd. https://t.co/POE6r5SdcL
🇺🇸71% OF VOTERS WANT RFK JR. IN DEBATE... ELON AGREES RFK Jr. aims to join Biden and Trump in next month's CNN debate but needs 15% in four national polls. He currently polls at 10% and has ballot access in states totaling 35 electoral votes. Kennedy accuses Biden and Trump… https://t.co/VKOkSllVTk
NEW from @thenatpulse: Trump Ties Biden in SHOCK New Hampshire Poll. Democrat dominance in New Hampshire's pr...... READ ON: https://t.co/83UBqYUeqL
POLLING: Mark Mitchell Details How President Trump Is Crushing In The Polls @Rasmussen_Poll https://t.co/RMIeHq9lAe
Joe Biden supporters in New Hampshire: “There are dozens of us!” https://t.co/QA46zQQXy8
Joe Biden managed to draw a couple dozen people to his event in New Hampshire today! Probably his largest crowd on record! 🤣 https://t.co/ddrjTL0NHb
Donald Trump is in a statistical tie with Joe Biden in Democratic New Hampshire when voters have Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a third option. https://t.co/NQrIBPCC7N
Analysis by Aaron Blake: In a new batch of Biden-Trump polls, new findings come to light as we enter a crucial juncture in the race for election. Here are some of the key dynamics: https://t.co/pX1WaWmvAx
Trump and Biden dead even in New Hampshire, new poll shows https://t.co/8u9eMJv5gb https://t.co/KAk5NGP270
Here are the key dynamics in a new batch of Biden-Trump polls https://t.co/Vt2eYdBJiA
Here are the key dynamics in a new batch of Biden-Trump polls via @AaronBlake https://t.co/EOvuVHQcOp
Battle to get on the ballot: @Taylorpopielarz looks at the independent presidential bid of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the scion of an iconic political family and a vaccine conspiracy theorist, and how it could impact the race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. https://t.co/suw30mJdXX
RFK Jr. tapped a political novice, Nicole Shanahan, as his running mate. He's heaped praise on her — but doesn't actually seem to know a ton about her, or what she's up to. My latest, w @MerylKornfield: https://t.co/lF1mTrNRVH
“The only perspective I’m really focused on is Bobby’s.” RFK Jr's spokesman when asked about his VP pick, Nicole Shanahan. My latest w @MerylKornfield: https://t.co/lF1mTrNRVH
What are the betting odds for the first debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump? https://t.co/BsUXjBLN71
Trump draws LEVEL with Biden in state Democrats won by 7% in 2020 as another dire poll spells trouble for the White House https://t.co/OYSzjSPPvu https://t.co/PDryVJoGk5
Analysis by Ashley Parker and Meryl Kornfield: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his vice-presidential pick, Nicole Shanahan, are on the same ticket. Getting on the same page is taking a bit more time. https://t.co/R8O1JY79MK
How much of the popular vote will @RobertKennedyJr get? RT please.
"The Biden-Trump debate in June sets the stage for an upset at the conventions" (@TheHillOpinion) https://t.co/YFTffngyxZ https://t.co/jHDedW57VT
Biden supporters are out in full force in New Hampshire today waiting for his arrival! All one of them! 🤣 https://t.co/hBlaeOHUEA
ELECTION: Pulling a page from the Democrat playbook Republican mega donors are making sure RFK Jr. has enough gas in the tank to get on the ballot in Democrat states. Experts predict RFK will pull 2-3% of the vote from Biden. https://t.co/zL1rjTfb4R
Harvard Poll: Donald Trump Leads Joe Biden by 6 Points as He Dominates with Independents https://t.co/T29yoyUInG
I asked the RFK Jr. campaign’s comms director who can speak on Nicole Shanahan’s behalf given she isn’t doing media interviews. “The only perspective I’m really focused on is Bobby’s,” he said. More on the RFK-Shanahan disconnect with @AshleyRParker: https://t.co/64v492lg8l
Trump might look strong, but polls reveal ominous signs for November https://t.co/nZtUydp8k9 https://t.co/u4MDOms86j
Trump vs. Biden polls now consistently show Joe in trouble in the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina. That leaves him with a narrow path to reelection via a sweep of Rust Belt battlegrounds. https://t.co/gmBxoRaYqP
📊New Polling shows President Trump and Biden in a virtual dead heat in New Hampshire👇 🔴 Trump 36.6% 🔵 Biden 36.5% ⚪️ RFK Jr 14.6% 🟢 None of these 12.6% Pollster: NHJournal/Praecones Analytica Voters: 862 registered voters Week: May 15-20 https://t.co/mRFr1KRPde