The military junta in Myanmar, which seized power from an elected government in 2021, has lost control over vast tracts of territory, including key international borders. This loss of control has enabled ethnic armed groups to expand and consolidate their regions. Reports indicate that the conflict has intensified, with clashes surging by approximately 67 percent since the coup, particularly during Operation 1027. Expert analyses suggest that Myanmar's fragmentation may be unavoidable, but it does not have to be catastrophic for its people. The emergence of quasi-independent statelets is seen as a potential outcome in the medium term, given the ongoing conflict and resistance efforts. These insights were highlighted by Sreeparna_b17.
Although Myanmar is undergoing fragmentation at the hands of armed ethnic groups, it is not a well-functioning state suddenly breaking apart, writes @rshorsey. Myanmar has been in a situation of partial collapse since it gained independence in 1948. https://t.co/y00KiCbVsP
If and when its civil war draws to an end, Myanmar might become "a loose confederation of independent states." https://t.co/T88IeQFigD
Since the military coup in 2021, violence has engulfed much of Myanmar, pitting regime forces against hundreds of resistance groups, writes @rshorsey. Now, the best alternative for the country may be a future as a fragmented state. https://t.co/TgmlYL9ssk
“Myanmar’s fragmentation may be unavoidable, but it does not have to be catastrophic for its people.” Read @rshorsey on what comes after Myanmar's political, military, and economic crisis: https://t.co/FGE42ewHeZ
It's tough being an unpopular, repressive military junta: Myanmar's "has lost control over vast tracts of territory, including access to much of its international borders, allowing ethnic armed groups to expand and consolidate regions under their control." https://t.co/jRWruwQkCW
“The emergence of quasi-independent statelets is likely the least bad outcome for Myanmar in the medium term. The most probable alternative, after all, is not peace under a federal democratic system, but brutal war.” https://t.co/IPre8WBSAt
Expert analyses find Myanmar’s military regime has lost control of more parts of the Southeast Asian country https://t.co/GPzqrOItrg https://t.co/w0ZqtSN5ou
#Myanmar remains ensnared in conflict and violence, with Operation 1027, clashes have surged by approximately 67 percent since the 2021 coup as resistance groups intensify efforts to remove the #military from power: @Sreeparna_b17 https://t.co/D9eq2QbxRj
Myanmar's junta has lost control of large areas and key borders, enabling ethnic armed groups to expand and consolidate power. https://t.co/saRYMiHVVA
Myanmar's ruling junta has lost control over vast tracts of territory, including access to much of its international borders, allowing ethnic armed groups to expand and consolidate regions under their control, two reports assessing the conflict said https://t.co/iUPkgdMdqG
The military junta in Myanmar that seized power from an elected government in 2021 has lost control of swaths of territory in recent months. https://t.co/MpktSrBfzz