Recent polls by Kaplan Strategies and @ppppolls/@emilyslis (D) have shed light on the political landscape in Florida ahead of the 2026 gubernatorial and 2024 Senate elections. In the Republican primary for governor, Matt Gaetz leads with 16%, followed by Byron Donalds at 13%, and Ashley Moody at 10%, with a significant 51% of voters still undecided, according to a Kaplan Strategies poll of 1,151 likely voters conducted between 2/27-28. Meanwhile, incumbent Senator Rick Scott holds a narrow lead over Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the Senate race, with a 3-point advantage (44% to 41%), as per a @ppppolls/@emilyslis (D) survey of 790 voters from 2/29-3/1. However, Scott's approval ratings are low, with a 34% approval and a 44% disapproval rating, and his favorability/unfavorability score stands at 34-48 (-14). These polls suggest a competitive political environment in Florida, with significant portions of the electorate still up for grabs.
#NEW Senate Poll - Florida (D) 🔴 Rick Scott 44% (+3) 🔵 Powell 41% @emilyslist (D) - 790 A - 3/1 https://t.co/800RcgrFJn
Matt Gaetz has more political acumen than the last two Florida governors combined. If Florida continues its drift hard right, it would be almost impossible for him to lose a primary, and once that happens, it’s Governor @mattgaetz. I don’t like it, but it’s true.
2024 Florida Senate GE: Rick Scott (R-Inc) 44% (+3) Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) 41% .@ppppolls/@emilyslis (D), 790 Voters, 2/29-3/1 https://t.co/48uS75000c
📊 Florida Senate: @ppppolls 🟥 Rick Scott (R-inc): 44% (+3) 🟦 Mucarsel-Powell (D): 41% — Scott Job Approval: 34-44 (-10) Scott fav/unfav: 34-48 (-14) — @emilyslist (D) | n=790 | 2/29-3/1 https://t.co/98UCOFwO1Z https://t.co/P4sQjyo3wf
NEW POLL: Florida Senator Rick Scott is narrowly leading Democrat challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 3 points, according to the poll. The poll also showed Scott with a 34 percent approval rating, compared to a 44 percent disapproval rating. https://t.co/fKkn2VZT7o
2026 Florida Governor — Republican Primary: Matt Gaetz 16% Byron Donalds 13% Ashley Moody 10% Jeannette Nunez 3% Jimmy Patronis 2% Michael Waltz 2% Francisco Suarez 2% Wilton Simpson 1% Undecided 51% Kaplan Strategies, 1,151 LV, 2/27-28 https://t.co/2fzFGeWt2b