Recent polling data from Cook Political/GS Strategy Group indicates that Democratic Senate candidates are outperforming President Biden in several key swing states. In Arizona, Gallego leads Lake by 5 points. In Michigan, Slotkin is ahead of her Republican opponent by 2 points. Nevada's Rosen has a 7-point lead over her Republican challenger Brown. Pennsylvania's Casey is up by 8 points against McCormick, and Baldwin in Wisconsin holds a 12-point advantage over Hovde. These results come as Biden trails Trump in the same states, with Trump leading by 9 points in Nevada, highlighting a significant split between Senate and Presidential race performances.
Looking April-May polls that tested the pres. ballot & Senate ballot by vote share (as opposed to margin), itβs not so much that Senate D candidates are massively outperforming Biden Itβs that Senate R candidates are considerably underperforming Trump, likely due to low name rec https://t.co/ovsx9OcTCA https://t.co/OmtcEohsSp
Pennsylvania Polling: Presidential: Trump (R): 48% Biden (D): 45% Senate: Casey (D): 49% McCormick (R): 41% BSG/GS Strategy Group / May 13, 2024 https://t.co/JW8g67Ypk1
π SENATE POLLING: Cook Political/GS Strategy Group (D)/BSG (R) ARIZONA π¦ Gallego: 46% π₯ Lake: 41% β¬ Undecided: 13% β NEVADA π¦ Rosen: 48% π₯ Brown: 41% β¬ Undecided: 11% β PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Casey: 49% π₯ McCormick: 41% β¬ Undecided: 10% β WISCONSIN π¦ Baldwin: 49% π₯ Hovde:β¦ https://t.co/E4r3kfqJTM https://t.co/rVq1LjVOsV
#New Senate Poll - Swing State's Arizona π΅ Gallego 46% (+5) π΄ Lake 41% Michigan π΅ Slotkin 44% (+2) π΄ Republican 42% Nevada π΅ Rosen 48% (+7) π΄ Republican 41% Pennsylvania π΅ Casey 49% (+8) π΄ McCormick 41% Wisconsin π΅ Baldwin 49% (+12) π΄ Hovde 37% Cookβ¦
Another poll - this one from @CookPolitical - shows the Democratic Senate candidates leading several races even as Biden trails in the same states. Yes, it's early, but these results are striking. https://t.co/Tt097y3JCS
Another poll -- this one from @CookPolitical -- shows the Democratic Senate candidates leading several races even as Biden trails in the same states. Yes, it's early, but these results are striking. https://t.co/iALVx0bjOg
In Senate poll, @CookPolitical found Rosen up 7 points on "The Republican" (didn't specify Brown) even though same poll found Trump up 9 points on Biden That would be a 16-point split, biggest margin since Bush/Reid '04 Also found D+3 on generic House https://t.co/W2jkE3VP33
NEW- Cook Political swing state polls Arizona: π₯ Trump +1 Nevada: π₯ Trump +9 Michigan: π₯ Trump +2 Pennsylvania: π₯ Trump +3 Wisconsin: π¨ TIED Arizona: π¦ Gallego +5 Nevada: π¦ Rosen +7 Michigan: π¦ Slotkin +2 Pennsylvania: π¦ Casey +8 Wisconsin: π¦ Baldwin +12
New Senate polling from @CookPolitical has Senate Democrats overperforming Biden across the board in swing states. Gallego +5 in Arizona Slotkin +2 in Michigan Rosen +7 in Nevada Casey +8 in Pennsylvania Baldwin +12 in Wisconsin https://t.co/XDOY40U985 https://t.co/MFO7xz5hIc