A recent Roanoke College poll indicates that President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are tied at 42% each in Virginia, a state Biden won by a 10-point margin in 2020. This poll surveyed 711 likely voters between May 21, 2024, with 2% undecided. The tie in Virginia, a state that has not seen a Republican presidential candidate win in decades, is significant as it highlights a shift in voter sentiment. Additionally, Trump is performing well among independent voters nationwide, leading Biden by 12 points according to a separate NPR/Marist poll. In another poll, independent candidate Kennedy received 8% and Green Party candidate Stein received 3%. This trend among independents could be pivotal in the upcoming 2024 election.
Biden leads Trump by single digits in New York — independents have ‘flipped’ for ex-president: poll https://t.co/2qo5udRnn1 https://t.co/ogbxxyz4Rz
Biden’s lead over Trump in New York is down to 7. He won New York by 23 in 2020. https://t.co/hdtFc5eaXu
Biden leads Trump by single digits in New York: poll https://t.co/mqioQKub4L https://t.co/B8s3q0rMyf
🇺🇲 National polling among Independent voters (April 23 - May 23, with leaners) CNN/SSRS 🟥 Trump: 47% (+9) 🟦 Biden: 38% . Marquette 🟦 Biden: 57% (+14) 🟥 Trump: 43% . NPR/Marist 🟥 Trump: 54% (+12) 🟦 Biden: 42% . Quinnipiac 🟥 Trump: 48% (+3) 🟦 Biden: 45% . Harvard/Harris… https://t.co/bQJy0v2isX
Biden leads Trump by just 7 points in New York State, 48%-41% - Emerson College Poll https://t.co/BXJ0Qx6b5W
538 Polling Averages: National GE: Trump 41.2% (+1.6) Biden 39.6% Kennedy 9.8% . Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 45.3% (+0.1) Republicans 45.2% . Biden Job Approval: Approve 37.8% (-18.5) Disapprove 56.3% https://t.co/5O3rgth9bG https://t.co/5tyRBhrVMX
President Biden is leading former President Trump in New York — but only by single digits in the largely blue state, according to a poll. https://t.co/sa7oj7Rkn4
Trump leads Biden by 12 points with independents in a new NPR/Marist poll. And yet by some miracle, Biden leads the poll overall! How the hell is that even possible?
New @CookPolitical: 2024 is a tale of two electorates. Biden leads 49%-45% among the most reliable voters but trails Trump 41%-51% among low/mid-engagement voters, per our new swing state poll. My dive into what's driving these differences: https://t.co/FA1fpe79a9
BREAKING: TRUMP UP +12 OVER BIDEN WITH INDEPENDENTS IN NEW MARIST POLL THE TRIAL HAS COMPLETELY BACKFIRED IT'S MAKING PEOPLE SUPPORT TRUMP EVEN MORE https://t.co/1JsYk0VZQF
Former President Donald Trump early Thursday touted the results of a new NPR/PBSNewsHour/Marist poll showing him ahead of President Joe Biden by 8 percentage points among independents. MORE: https://t.co/CmgAuwbThQ https://t.co/HlA227qCfa
Donald Trump Crushes Joe Biden Among Independents In New Poll https://t.co/c3glSvbHfE
Trump leads Biden 54% to 42% among independent voters nationwide: NPR/PBS/Marist poll https://t.co/JHmuWdPoxH
12-POINT LEAD. President Trump’s LARGEST Lead Among Independents Ever By NPR/Marist Poll https://t.co/07DkrBjv9s
It may be Trump vs Biden 2.0, but the electorate has changed in 41 states with new voters who moved from elsewhere, those who turned 18, or from those who became US citizens. Here’s how that stands to shift the 2024 election https://t.co/LJmE7nKTvi via @bbgvisualdata
Donald Trump crushes Joe Biden among independents in new poll https://t.co/VdYF3HgmnV https://t.co/Ni2viKeAw9
Super interesting story on the changes in swing state demographics that may determine the outcome of the 2024 election from @andretartar @elena___mejia @gregorykorte https://t.co/k9iNOea96f
Marist poll: Are you voting for Biden/Trump/Kennedy? Registered Voters: 40/44/8 Definitely voting: 43/46/5 Dems: 82/6/4 GOP: 4/88/4 Indies: 28/44/17 Double haters: 18/34/22 Midwest: 40/45/7 No college degree: 32/53/8 College degree: 53/32/7 White: 39/47/9 Non-white: 41/41/6
BIG NEWS: New Poll Finds Trump Tied With Biden in Virginia via @gatewaypundit https://t.co/rGFgRLFXDS
BIG NEWS: New Poll Finds Trump Tied With Biden in Virginia A new poll from Roanoke College finds Donald Trump tied with Joe Biden in Virginia. This is the real reason that Democrats and the media are so desperate to put Trump in jail. He is outperforming recent Republican… https://t.co/Qlcdlrf2nY
'Irregular Voters' Will Decide the 2024 Presidential Election For a long time, it was an axiom in politics that a heavy turnout favored Democrats. But that dynamic is giving way to a far more volatile metric: voters who usually don't vote becoming engaged in this election.… https://t.co/p5VDamzMnp
📊 NPR/Marist: Independent voters 🟥 Trump: 54% (+12) 🟦 Biden: 42% Trump's largest lead among independents ever by NPR/Marist College — 🟥 Trump: 44% (+16) 🟦 Biden: 28% 🟨 RFK Jr: 17% 🟩 West: 4% 🟨 West: 3% 538: #6 (2.9/3.0) | 5/21-23 | RVs https://t.co/bJmOLmkbM7 https://t.co/qBuy7zSnfW
NEW Marist/NPR/PBS poll (A+) Registered voters 🟦 Biden 50% 🟥 Trump 48% Definitely voting in 2024 🟦 Biden 50% 🟥 Trump 49% Registered voters 🟥 Trump 44% 🟦 Biden 40% 🟨 Kennedy 8% Definitely voting in 2024 🟥 Trump 46% 🟦 Biden 43% 🟨 Kennedy 5%
It may be Trump vs Biden again, but so much else has changed since 2020. Here's how new eligible voters stand to shift the 2024 US election https://t.co/bnk1GgJTcr
Trump And Biden Tied In State GOP Candidate Hasn't Won In Decades: POLL https://t.co/3Sr9l7gvdb
Trump and Biden TIED in Virginia -- only 2% undecided https://t.co/uxpOriX8VH
More bad news for Biden as poll shows him TIED with Trump in state he won by 10 points https://t.co/wqHlh5XaOO https://t.co/TJYCnchQb7
The final Roanoke College poll for 2020 was Biden 53%, Trump 42%. That was a marginal improvement for Trump versus their previous poll two weeks earlier (Biden 53%, Trump 38%). So, these dismissals I'm seeing of their new poll showing a tie, is copium.
Virginia - Presidential Polling: Biden (D): 42% Trump (R): 42% Biden (D): 40% Trump (R): 38% Kenendy (I): 8% Stein (G): 3% Roanoke College / May 21, 2024 / n=711 https://t.co/IBt2ZE3j5H
"President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are tied (42%-42%) in a head-to-head matchup in Virginia" https://t.co/OFesZhnwGk
Some folks dragged me May 7 for posting a Trump camp McLaughlin poll, which indicated Biden led Trump by just 1 in Virginia. Well, here’s an independent Roanoke poll showing a tie race in the state https://t.co/ghJLQBV5Hu https://t.co/MAyY5sYcLR https://t.co/ntbCNa6EOM
#New General Election Poll - Virginia 🔴 Trump 42% 🔵 Biden 42% Biden won in 2020 with a 10% margin! Roanoke #31 - 711 LV - 5/21
🚨Roanoke College Poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia🚨 https://t.co/zXbNrqZkwG