Recent polling data reveals a complex and competitive landscape for the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential election. According to 538's poll of polls, President Joe Biden has taken a slight lead nationally, with his poll numbers improving by 2.7 points since early March. However, former President Donald Trump maintains a significant lead in several key swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. In Minnesota, the race is currently tied. A Rasmussen poll shows Trump leading Biden nationally by 10 points, while another poll from Emerson College and The Hill indicates Trump's advantage in critical battleground states. Additionally, Trump's support among Black voters has increased, while Biden's support has declined. A Fox News poll shows Biden leading Trump by 2 points nationally. As the election approaches, the fluctuating poll numbers and upcoming debates suggest a highly competitive race.
Polls from Emerson College and The Hill show Trump leading Biden in key states: Arizona (43-47%), Georgia (41-45%), Michigan (45-46%), Nevada (46, 43-43%), Pennsylvania (45–47%) and Wisconsin (44–47%). And an interesting stat: Trump has a tie in Minnesota, a state that has… https://t.co/ksdgpr2nu2
Polls have Biden ahead of Trump; meanwhile his support amongst all voter classes have collapsed https://t.co/Gf97bk3UIO
The FoxNews poll that has Biden winning has him dominating Trump with rural voters. I mean, come on, that's just silly. More concerning for Biden is that he is tied with Trump for urban voters.
🇺🇸 US Presidential Election poll Biden: 50% Trump: 48% (Fox News) https://t.co/Q2PXfOEhqY
(Subscribe) Arizona Polling: Presidential: Trump (R): 48% Biden (D): 42% Senate: Gallego (D): 39% Lake (R): 38% Quintana (G): 9% North Star Opinion Research / June 20, 2024 / n=600 (Republican Commissioner) https://t.co/rWYz73zWqG
Trump leads in key U.S. states: new poll predicts a tense presidential race https://t.co/0gUXGz7XRC https://t.co/epMqh7MG4Y
As we head into debate week, it's important to note that Trump's leads in the national vote and in the battlegrounds have evaporated. Biden now leads in 538's averages in the national popular vote and in MI and WI. Getting bluer out there! More 👇 https://t.co/dvhlXvJIQy https://t.co/csRJd8saeg
As we head into debate week, it's important to note that Trump's leads in the national vote and in the battlegrounds has evaporated. Biden now leads in 538's averages in the national popular vote and in MI and WI. Getting bluer out there! More 👇 https://t.co/dvhlXvJIQy
Do not believe any poll - Trump is now leading by 10 points? It changes every single day? A fresh Rasmussen survey shows former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden by 10 points in the 2024 White House race. The poll found 46% of likely voters support Trump, while… https://t.co/RGztKd2kED
POLLS: Trump’s Black support spikes, Biden’s declines https://t.co/oZn9DKTHmp
Trump 2.0? Leads Biden by 9-10% points. https://t.co/XgRgN0hYzU
Trump Continues to Dominate in the Polls https://t.co/hClw8Ljbdo
POLLING: This week we saw shocking polls show Biden pulling ahead of Trump by 3-7 points. If those polls are accurate why does Trump continue to pull ahead in the betting odds? https://t.co/0zbEouxAwn
Trump 10 points up on Biden, new national poll shows https://t.co/NfrdMZBQCa https://t.co/efwLpY92Gm
POLLING: The polling that came out this week showing Biden ahead by 3-7% seemed strange. The betting odds keep going up for Trump. What is going on? https://t.co/pwmr6Z9ChB
While Biden’s focused on training to stand up for 90 minutes, Trump’s talking policy and shredding Biden’s cash advantage. Trump’s up in every swing state, even edging out Biden in deep blue Minnesota when RFK Jr is on the ballot. Meanwhile Biden’s down with Hispanics, Blacks and… https://t.co/srthNceQ5O
BREAKING: NEW RARASMUSSEN POLL: Trump: 46% Biden: 36% RFK Jr: 9%
BREAKING: NEW ARASMUSSEN POLL: Trump: 46% Biden: 36% RFK Jr: 9%
Arizona Senate Race Shaping Up to Be a Nail-Biter: Lake and Gallego in Dead Heat https://t.co/UQEMBYHYLF
#New General Election Poll - Arizona 🔴 Trump 48% (+6) 🔵 Biden 42% Senate 🔵 Gallego 39% (+1) 🔴 Lake 38% AmGreatness/NSOR - 600 LV - 6/20
🚨NEW poll I helped direct for @theamgreatness shows President Trump leading big in the battleground state of Arizona. Head to head: 🟥 Trump: 48% 🟦 Biden: 42% Five-way ballot: 🟥 Trump: 42% 🟦 Biden: 32% 🟨 RFK Jr: 13% 🟩 Stein: 3% 🟪 Oliver: 2% https://t.co/NAcmgMgoea https://t.co/Y9vGPSk486
📊 Arizona Senate GE: @NorthStarOpin 🟦 Gallego: 39% 🟥 Lake: 38% 🟩 Quintana: 9% ⬜ Undecided: 13% • #228 (1.2/3.0) | @theamgreatness • R35/D30/I35 | 6/17-20 | 600 LV | ±4% https://t.co/enwmJUqcAX https://t.co/ZjSPKGZJUY
From 538's averages today: Blue Wall - Biden leads in MI/WI, trails by 0.2 in PA Southwest - Trump leads by 2.5 in AZ, 2.8 in NV South - Trump leads by 4.6 in GA, 5.5 in NC Trump's advantage in the battlegrounds has evaporated, as has his national poll lead. More 👇 https://t.co/5tWAZ163i5
From Hopium: - W/Biden’s poll gains and next week’s debate we're entering a new phase in the election - Biden now leads in 538’s natl poll average, having gained 2.7 pts since early March & in MI/WI - Reminder we’ve had a lot of good economic news of late https://t.co/awOIIZuDxa
From Hopium: - W/Biden’s improving poll numbers and next week’s debate we're entering a new phase in the election - Biden now leads in 538’s poll average, having gained 2.7 pts since early March - Reminder we’ve had a lot of good economic news of late 👇 https://t.co/awOIIZvbmI
🗳️2024 GE: Trump vs. Biden MODEL, June 2024 (@QPollsandNews) H2H: 🔴Donald J. Trump: 55.9% [+11.8] 🔵Joseph R. Biden Jr.: 44.1% HYPOTHETICAL W/ 3RD PARTIES: 🔴Trump: 53.1% [+11.2] 🔵Biden: 41.9% 🟡Estimated third party: 5% https://t.co/ZEizQaycFd
Missouri Polling: Presidential: Trump (R): 57% Biden (D): 43% Senate: Hawley (R): 47% Kunce (D): 38% Emerson / June 19, 2024 / n=1000 https://t.co/BUydNU3wIk
"If the 2024 candidates for president were Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?" 49% Donald Trump (+9) 40% Joe Biden 7% Some other candidate 4% Not sure National Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters, Conducted June 20, 2024. MOE +/- 3% with a 95% level of confidence👇 https://t.co/tYgnLh11Fy
📊 CA-48 POLL: Survey USA 🟥 Darrell Issa (inc): 56% 🟦 Stephen Houlahan: 34% — President 🟥 Donald Trump: 52% 🟦 Joe Biden (inc): 36% — Job Approval • Pres. Biden: 35-64 (-29) • Trump recalled: 56-43 (+13) — 538: #14 (2.8/3.0) | 6/14-20 | 625 LV https://t.co/p3yvy71LiV https://t.co/sl923CWMcn
Donald Trump gets more good news in critical swing states: poll https://t.co/rayToVxPnb https://t.co/QjZ2jS32Vl
New poll gives good news to Biden (but how good is it?) https://t.co/vryeVdB5hM https://t.co/lazrDO1VDw
#New Senate Poll - Missouri 🔴 Hawley (Inc) - 47% (+9) 🔵 Lucas Kunce - 38% GOP Governor Primary Lucas Kunce 23% Jay Ashcroft 20% Mike Kehoe 6% Emerson - 1000 RV - 6/19 https://t.co/rWumeKCE7o
Today's cover: Trump leads Biden in six key states — and ties in blue Minnesota — ahead of debate: poll https://t.co/VzXb9IQYHw https://t.co/BlBH0Ls9OO
🇺🇸 Swing For The Fences ▫Trump leads Biden in six key states — and ties in blue Minnesota — ahead of debate: poll ▫@thatkingthing ▫https://t.co/O1ta2MGX8t 👈 #frontpagestoday #USA @nypost 🇺🇸 https://t.co/vYWuet5RnV
Trump Leads Biden in Swing States https://t.co/qWBvCUMhZv
For the first time in a long time, Biden is ahead nationally in 538's poll of polls. Also Trump's electoral college advantage appears to have shrunk substantially - from 3.9% to 0.4% (in this poll of polls). https://t.co/MqOSpHToD3
For the first time in a long time, Biden is ahead in 538's poll of polls. Also Trump's electoral college advantage appears to have shrunk substantially - from 3.9% to 0.4% (in this poll of polls). https://t.co/67FZOqP8YZ