In the 2024 Michigan Democratic Primary, President Biden secured 81% of the vote, with 13% of voters remaining uncommitted, compared to Obama's 89% in 2012. This marks a slight increase in the uncommitted vote compared to previous years, where it hovered around 20,000 votes in each election, with 20,833 votes (10.7%) in 2012 against Obama, 21,601 votes (1.8%) in 2016, and 19,106 votes (1.2%) in 2020. The uncommitted vote reached its peak in 2008 when Obama was not on the ballot, capturing 40% of the vote. However, in the most recent election, the number of uncommitted votes surged to approximately 101,000, indicating a notable shift in voter sentiment. Despite the increase in uncommitted votes, Biden's total vote count significantly exceeded that of Obama in previous years, with Biden receiving 623,000 votes, up from Obama's 174,000 in 2012.
Biden won 623K votes in the #MichiganPrimaries; up from Obama's 174K in 20212. As a percentage, 13.2% voted uncommitted now; up from 10.7% against Obama. https://t.co/Vx2XytaPB4
Uncommitted Votes In Michigan Democratic primaries: - '24: 101k (13%) - '20: 19K (1%) - '16: 22K (2%) - '12: 21K (11%) - '08: 238K (40%) [Note: Obama not on the ballot]
Uncommitted vote count in the Michigan DEM Primary 2008: 40% (Obama wasn't on the ballot) 2012: 11% 2016: 2% 2020: 1% 2024: 13%
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2024 Biden: 81% Uncommitted: 13% 2012: Obama: 89% Uncommitted: 11% Not a huge spike in "Uncommitted," but enough to highlight Biden's electoral precarity. Obama was about 10 points stronger among Dems in 2012, which intuitively seems about right
A baseline for the "uncommitted" vote in Michigan tonight. 2012 "uncommitted": 20,833 votes (10.7%) vs. Obama 2016 "uncommitted": 21,601 votes (1.8%) in Clinton vs. Sanders 2020 "uncommitted": 19,106 votes (1.2%) in Biden vs. Sanders Right around 20k in each.