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India-Pakistan Military Clashes Challenge Nuclear Deterrence, Grant Pakistan Symbolic Victory Amid Temporary Respite Warnings

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Updated May 24, 2025, 12:56 PM

The recent military clashes between India and Pakistan have rapidly escalated tensions in South Asia, challenging long-held assumptions about nuclear deterrence between the two nations. Analysts and experts have noted that the conflict unfolded quickly, with previous red lines and the presence of nuclear weapons failing to prevent hostilities. Indian policymakers appear to believe that Pakistan’s military has been temporarily deterred due to the high costs of further conflict, but Pakistani military leaders hold a different view. The fighting has not only failed to restore deterrence but has also reinforced Pakistan’s resolve, granting Islamabad a symbolic victory. Experts suggest that any pause in violence is likely to be short-lived as long as either side perceives potential gains from aggression. This evolving dynamic raises concerns about the absence of effective guardrails to prevent a full-scale war between the two nuclear-armed neighbors.

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India had hoped that, by attacking Pakistan, it would reestablish deterrence, but instead it strengthened the convictions of Pakistan’s generals—and handed Islamabad a major symbolic victory, argues @AqilShah_.

Story Timeline

2 months ago•Latest version

India-Pakistan Military Clashes Challenge Nuclear Deterrence, Grant Pakistan Symbolic Victory Amid Temporary Respite Warnings

2 months ago•Original version

India-Pakistan Conflict Escalates Since 2019 Despite Nuclear Deterrence, India's Attack Strengthens Pakistan's Symbolic Victory

India-Pakistan Military Clashes Challenge Nuclear Deterrence, Grant Pakistan Symbolic Victory Amid Temporary Respite Warnings

Financial Analysis

Associated Financial Markets

Related Prediction Markets

Pakistan strike on India before August?

Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?

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Sources

Story Timeline

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