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Zhao News
Prediction markets for Zhao
Prediction markets for Zhao
Will Changpeng Zhao (aka @cz_binance) be in prison, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
Sep 3, 10:07 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
96.51%
chance
43
11531
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4147
502
Will CZ (Changpeng Zhao) return as the CEO of Binance in 2024?
Nov 27, 10:23 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
1%
chance
11
3095
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2765
915
Binance CEO CZ (Changpeng Zhao) resides in Russia before 2026
Jun 16, 12:53 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
22.29%
chance
4
245
Option
Votes
YES
NO
126
90
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Jan 2, 11:35 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
317
52254
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Feb 15, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
5166
Will we see the first crypto trillionaire by 2030?
Mar 3, 6:20 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
22
1541
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Feb 4, 8:20 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
322
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
Feb 4, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 1:55 PM
9
588
Will I make both USApHO and the FIDE IM title before the summer of 2025?
Jun 26, 1:50 AM
Jun 21, 3:59 AM
48.86%
chance
2
26
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1023
977
Will Olaf Scholz remain chancellor of Germany after the next federal election?
Sep 1, 8:46 PM
Oct 26, 10:59 PM
19.57%
chance
26
1373
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1235
903
Does Covid-19 have hidden long-term negative health effects?
Mar 24, 8:05 AM
Mar 24, 10:59 PM
66.2%
chance
27
525
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1108
919
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