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World Peace News
Prediction markets for World Peace
Prediction markets for World Peace
Will Rationalussy create world peace?
Oct 14, 9:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
64.73%
chance
11
2419
Option
Votes
YES
NO
995
994
If India will seem set to take over the world leadership, while being a peaceful democracy, will the US try to stop them?
Mar 6, 4:35 PM
Mar 6, 10:59 PM
59.02%
chance
2
16
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
82
will there be world peace by 2030
Apr 20, 5:17 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
14.81%
chance
7
206
Option
Votes
YES
NO
412
173
If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?
Dec 3, 9:38 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.64%
chance
28
2050
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3004
2533
Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2024?
Dec 7, 12:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.08%
chance
16
424
Option
Votes
YES
NO
997
993
Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Feb 23, 5:28 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
10%
chance
15
505
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1046
971
Will North Korea and South Korea be unified with a formula like 'one country, two systems' by 2030?
Apr 14, 3:18 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4.94%
chance
19
1482
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1504
933
Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2024?
Mar 18, 8:08 PM
Apr 1, 6:59 AM
34
1121
Will Liberian GDP growth exceed 5% in 2024?
Nov 24, 4:29 AM
Feb 28, 4:59 PM
39.31%
chance
2
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
85
58
Would you enter the Experience Machine
Apr 3, 12:31 AM
18
0
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Authors
4
3 months
Culture
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