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Will Vest News
Prediction markets for Will Vest
Prediction markets for Will Vest
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291448
Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?
May 23, 6:38 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14.41%
chance
32
10651
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8466
1486
Will Manifold implement robust and successful incentives for publicizing information?
Nov 14, 11:09 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
14.5%
chance
22
803
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1305
907
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
Nov 24, 7:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
38.98%
chance
34
2555
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1282
750
Will Justin Verlander hit his 2024 IP contract trigger?
May 21, 11:02 PM
Oct 2, 6:59 AM
19.98%
chance
4
1024
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2001
500
Will an "enhanced" athlete break Usain Bolt's 100m dash record in 2024?
Jun 29, 6:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.36%
chance
9
683
Option
Votes
YES
NO
473
101
By the end of 2027 will there be a new state or a new union territory in the Republic of India?
Aug 8, 8:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
32.49%
chance
7
153
Option
Votes
YES
NO
170
135
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3 months
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