Will News

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Aug 3, 6:17 PMDec 17, 4:29 PM

37509903956

Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?

May 16, 2:16 AMAug 9, 3:59 AM

35%chance

2619508812

OptionVotes

YES

130903

77021

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?

Jan 17, 11:54 AMAug 1, 10:59 PM

72.59%chance

536014775995

OptionVotes

YES

107142

82145

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84%chance

4243106389

OptionVotes

YES

3273

887

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 14, 5:21 PMNov 7, 5:59 AM

27.58%chance

52595889093

OptionVotes

YES

80779

31458

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Jul 25, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4%chance

653952339133

OptionVotes

YES

87698

14855

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Feb 22, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

29.5%chance

129186341

OptionVotes

YES

147382

70460

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

Mar 17, 4:56 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

47.97%chance

2025893787

OptionVotes

YES

13346

6447

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Feb 20, 10:47 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.51%chance

29374550196

OptionVotes

YES

12781

9465

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Dec 31, 10:36 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

89%chance

971014650

OptionVotes

YES

1091

998

Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jan 4, 1:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1147576681

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Jan 3, 4:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.36%chance

5601850477

OptionVotes

YES

30875

6590

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Will News

Prediction markets for Will

Prediction markets for Will

Prediction markets for Will

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Will GPT-5 be released before 2025?

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Will sleep be needed to live and function by 2040?

Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Will

Prediction markets for Will

Prediction markets for Will

Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?