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Wied News
Prediction markets for Wied
Prediction markets for Wied
Will we see a POTUS wielding a chainsaw over his head before EOY 2050?
Feb 18, 8:47 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
25.38%
chance
38
1011
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1089
953
Will Scott Wiener run for US Congress in 2024
May 21, 2:36 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
5.86%
chance
5
335
Option
Votes
YES
NO
485
81
Will Scott Wiener be elected to Congress in 2024?
Jun 7, 11:46 PM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
7.28%
chance
7
2170
Option
Votes
YES
NO
820
134
Will @WieDan remain trustworthy-ish until the end of 2024?
Oct 7, 1:00 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
92.66%
chance
3
82
Option
Votes
NO
YES
192
99
Who would win in a fight between Jacques Cousteau dual-wielding machetes and a blue-ringed octopus?
Jun 27, 11:03 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
15
Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?
Apr 23, 8:25 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.54%
chance
29
4146
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1719
527
Gaat Frans Timmermans in 2024 de tweede kamer verlaten?
Jan 4, 10:40 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.45%
chance
21
1960
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1282
870
Will regulators make rules against institutional investment (e.g. pension funds) in crypto related assets? Before 2025
Nov 12, 1:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.38%
chance
22
829
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1321
779
Will google announce the closure of google cloud before 2026
Jan 12, 12:24 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
3.44%
chance
34
9357
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3313
815
before 2025 at least one of S&P 500 companies will have the board of directors decide to replace the CEO with AI
Sep 27, 8:29 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2.24%
chance
17
2008
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2056
922
Will anyone join in Marc Andreessen's & John Carmac's Mea Culpa over their lack of resistance to 'woke' mobs.
Apr 13, 3:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
20
522
Wanneer stapt Hertzberger uit NSC?
Sep 26, 5:40 PM
Oct 3, 9:59 PM
15
387
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5
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6
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9
3 months
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