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von der Leyen News
Top stories
EU Leaders Reappoint von der Leyen Amidst Meloni's Abstention and Forza Italia's Support
Authors
22
3 days
Europe
Economics
World
EU's Von der Leyen Faces Renew Group Challenge, Set for Another Term
Authors
8
6 days
Economics
Business
Prediction markets for von der Leyen
Prediction markets for von der Leyen
Will Ursula von der Leyen secure a second term as European Commission president?
Jan 2, 9:07 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
89%
chance
26
5799
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2450
547
Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?
Aug 18, 9:00 AM
Mar 31, 8:47 AM
96.35%
chance
48
9881
Option
Votes
NO
YES
5540
370
Will Ursula von der Leyen (President of the European Commission) be arrested and convicted for fraud during the COVID?
Jan 10, 10:31 AM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
4.92%
chance
12
971
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1514
923
Weil Ursula von der Leyen succeed Stoltenberg as secretary general of NATO?
Jul 5, 8:59 AM
Oct 4, 9:59 PM
2.59%
chance
10
1524
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2030
851
Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
Dec 15, 7:51 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29
9835
What will Trump criticize during the presidential campaign? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 9, 8:34 PM
Nov 4, 10:59 PM
41
2448
Who will be elected as the next NATO Secretary General?
Nov 21, 8:05 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
30
9298
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 13, 5:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
70
9087
Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?
Sep 13, 9:37 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
90.87%
chance
29
2344
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2370
726
Will a lead candidate become Commission President after the 2024 EU election?
May 11, 5:35 PM
Jul 30, 9:59 PM
85.52%
chance
14
543
Option
Votes
NO
YES
358
107
How many of the FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 will turn out to be correct?
Dec 31, 1:48 PM
Dec 30, 9:59 PM
49%
chance
4
208
Option
Votes
YES
NO
99
78
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