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Prediction markets for Vitali

Will Lex Fridman interview Vitali Klitschko by the end of 2024?

Nov 13, 8:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.14%chance

3910396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

624

Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy? [parimutuel]

Oct 24, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

551

Who will be the next President of Ukraine, after Zelenskyy?

Dec 19, 4:55 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

16229

Will Vitalik Buterin have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?

Jan 3, 8:12 AMJan 1, 4:01 PM

69.72%chance

14677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

979

Will Vitalik Buterin have a girlfriend/wife (at least once) before 2026?

Jan 5, 4:49 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

49.83%chance

10135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

971

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.29%chance

11249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1112

954

Will Vitalik Buterin have a boyfriend/husband (at least once) before 2026?

Jan 5, 5:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.52%chance

171218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1620

829

Will Vitalik Buterin create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:13 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.26%chance

271090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

732

Will "My techno-optimism [By Vitalik Buterin]" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Jun 12, 6:48 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

9.94%chance

1400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

947

Will Vitalik Buterin (co-founder and inventor of Ethereum) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 29, 3:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.77%chance

287203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

949

Is vitalik buterin more deuterated than the average human

Jan 24, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

Will Vitalik Buterin be found guilty of fraud before 2028?

Nov 18, 10:55 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

4%chance

17908

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

963

Articles

Latest stories

Klitschko Lobbies for Ukraine Aid in D.C., Cites Tensions in Interview with German FOCUS
Authors
4
4 months
Ukraine
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