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Top stories
Keith Urban Announces New Album 'High' with 'Wildside'; Reveals Track List, Achieves Milestone with George Strait
Authors
4
5 days
Celebrities
Culture
Prediction markets for Urban
Prediction markets for Urban
Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?
May 30, 1:05 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
18.86%
chance
24
12320
Option
Votes
YES
NO
19228
6142
Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17.18%
chance
11
368
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1299
903
Will the new vehicles in CPI for All Urban Consumers: New Vehicles in U.S. City Average index be <150 by the end of 2024
Jul 11, 11:34 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.17%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
85
58
Detroit LVT: Will average urban density increase? (2028)
Oct 13, 3:55 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
74%
chance
8
210
Option
Votes
NO
YES
181
156
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
[Mega Independent]/Prop bets: What will be true of the next James Bond movie?
Nov 23, 9:13 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
118
43689
Which 2024 demographic vote gap [Race/Age/Education/Gender/etc.] will increase when compared to 2020?
Dec 28, 1:43 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14
480
What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?
Dec 28, 8:44 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
52
4072
Smooth StreetView for Urbana, IL by 2025-03-03?
Mar 3, 10:50 AM
Mar 3, 11:59 PM
33.6%
chance
3
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
93
Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?
Oct 13, 7:08 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
80.63%
chance
45
1600
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1217
928
Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?
May 22, 8:25 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
80.38%
chance
8
1070
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2024
494
Will the Houthis still control Sana'a by the end of 2024?
Jan 24, 3:32 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
84.96%
chance
16
1405
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1355
896
Articles
Latest stories
Keith Urban Announces New Album 'High' with 'Wildside'; Reveals Track List, Achieves Milestone with George Strait
Authors
4
5 days
Celebrities
Culture
Keith Urban's Acoustic Performance of Ariana Grande's 'We Can't Be Friends' Praised by Ariana Grande
Authors
10
2 months
Culture
BBC Journalist Mark Urban Exits After 35 Years Amid Newsnight Changes
Authors
14
3 months
Britain
World
Keith Urban Named Mega Mentor for 'The Voice' Season 25 on NBC
Authors
5
3 months
Culture
Ravens Re-sign Brent Urban, Strengthen Defense with Top Linemen
Authors
4
4 months
NFL
Sports
USA Clinches Group B with Shootout Win Over Czechia, 10-2 Rout of Slovakia
Authors
10
6 months
Hockey
Sports
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