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Tyler Cowen News
Prediction markets for Tyler Cowen
Prediction markets for Tyler Cowen
Will Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 6:38 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
18.11%
chance
15
650
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1403
844
Will Tyler Cowen complain about this particular tweet in 2024?
Mar 19, 1:54 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.47%
chance
14
921
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1870
792
Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?
May 21, 12:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8.58%
chance
62
11420
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3265
306
Does the shortest possible universal program contain Tyler Cowen in it?
Sep 18, 7:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65%
chance
2
21
Option
Votes
NO
YES
109
76
Tyler Cowen's claims about reading and travel continue to be accepted through mid 2028
Dec 18, 4:41 PM
Jul 1, 5:59 AM
97.57%
chance
20
950
Option
Votes
NO
YES
909
49
When will Tyler Cowen have David Grusch as the guest on an episode of Conversations with Tyler?
Nov 29, 3:17 PM
Dec 6, 3:59 PM
5
699
Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?
Mar 7, 12:54 PM
Mar 8, 4:59 AM
8.28%
chance
10
635
Option
Votes
YES
NO
731
160
Who will be Harvard University's next permanent president?
Dec 22, 4:56 AM
Mar 2, 6:59 AM
127
56936
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Mar 1, 6:07 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3517
Which Twitter-Figures will make it to Masters League by 2025, conditional on becoming active on Manifold?
Dec 13, 1:33 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
26
900
iPhone (0%) vs Android (100%) - who uses what? MegaMarket.
Feb 27, 10:41 PM
Mar 5, 7:59 AM
58
10011
Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?
May 23, 1:04 PM
May 25, 3:59 AM
87.86%
chance
30
5941
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2690
372
Articles
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