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Tolle News
Prediction markets for Tolle
Prediction markets for Tolle
[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 11, 5:55 PM
Nov 2, 6:59 AM
410
171555
Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side
Oct 8, 6:14 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
302
67938
[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 7, 11:35 PM
Dec 31, 7:59 AM
129
72052
Will a major media outlet publish a hit piece on manifold due to allowing markets on wars and death tolls before 2025?
Dec 12, 6:00 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
34.75%
chance
21
904
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1043
839
Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?
Oct 22, 5:33 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.83%
chance
24
1808
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1252
901
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
Mar 31, 11:32 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.46%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1275
880
[More bins, higher] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas War - Israeli Side
Oct 7, 6:43 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
39
11564
Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - United States Side
Oct 18, 11:13 AM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
8
655
[Even more numbers/bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side
Oct 13, 5:02 AM
Mar 1, 7:59 AM
12
3550
Will the death toll in Gaza reach 100.000 before the end of the year?
Apr 30, 11:43 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
19.23%
chance
6
152
Option
Votes
YES
NO
327
113
[Bins up to 36,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Israeli side
Oct 18, 1:18 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18
2750
Will Penlink be a toll road?
Oct 24, 11:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
95%
chance
5
556
Option
Votes
NO
YES
696
52
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