Toews News

8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.

Dec 25, 1:38 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

68.29%chance

515113

OptionVotes

YES

1178

893

9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024

Dec 25, 1:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.95%chance

474111

OptionVotes

YES

1306

862

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.87%chance

221229

OptionVotes

YES

1102

939

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.96%chance

533275

OptionVotes

YES

1052

852

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.68%chance

132914

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

2) Stability AI will shut down.

Dec 25, 1:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

36.64%chance

494783

OptionVotes

YES

1018

928

1) Nvidia will dramatically ramp up its efforts to become a cloud provider.

Dec 25, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.36%chance

401222

OptionVotes

YES

1225

914

5) A number of Fortune 500 companies will create a new C-suite position: Chief AI Officer.

Dec 25, 1:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.04%chance

251160

OptionVotes

YES

1430

867

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

Mar 11, 12:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.88%chance

161520

OptionVotes

YES

1243

874

3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.

Dec 25, 1:32 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.62%chance

441315

OptionVotes

YES

1248

857

10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated]

Dec 25, 1:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.75%chance

431772

OptionVotes

YES

1300

767

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.15%chance

291297

OptionVotes

YES

1033

921

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Toews News

Prediction markets for Toews

Prediction markets for Toews

Prediction markets for Toews

8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.

9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

2) Stability AI will shut down.

1) Nvidia will dramatically ramp up its efforts to become a cloud provider.

5) A number of Fortune 500 companies will create a new C-suite position: Chief AI Officer.

2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today

3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.

10) U.S. court rule that generative AI models trained on the internet represent a violation of copyright. [Abbreviated]

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Toews

Prediction markets for Toews

Prediction markets for Toews

8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.

9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024

2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.

6) An alternative to the transformer architecture will see meaningful adoption.

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

2) Stability AI will shut down.

1) Nvidia will dramatically ramp up its efforts to become a cloud provider.