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Thunberg News
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Swedish activist Greta Thunberg detained by police in Helsinki after Extinction Rebellion protest
Authors
7
8 days
Europe
Crime
Climate
Prediction markets for Thunberg
Prediction markets for Thunberg
Will Greta Thunberg run for or be appointed to any political role before the end of 2030?
Sep 6, 1:26 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
34.15%
chance
30
869
Option
Votes
NO
YES
998
990
Will Greta Thunberg run for public office before the end of 2035?
Jan 15, 7:06 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.92%
chance
15
207
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1024
975
Will Greta Thunberg be sentenced to prison before 2030
Mar 13, 3:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15.21%
chance
12
383
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1255
912
Will Greta Thunberg receive the Nobel peace prize before she dies?
Oct 30, 5:33 PM
Nov 7, 4:59 AM
11.97%
chance
13
565
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1349
910
Who will be the first public figure to confidently claim that artificial intelligences are people? (add your own)
May 14, 2:57 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
49
1930
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
What will Trump criticize during the presidential campaign? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 9, 8:34 PM
Nov 4, 10:59 PM
41
2448
Which famous people will name AI as an existential threat before 2026? [Mega Independent]
Dec 15, 7:51 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29
9835
Who will be the top 3 users on the CoolFold leaderboard at EOY 2024? (excluding bots)
Jan 7, 8:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
191
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
65
10514
8) The Microsoft/OpenAI relationship will begin to fray.
Dec 25, 1:38 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
68.29%
chance
51
5113
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1178
893
9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024
Dec 25, 1:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
74.95%
chance
47
4111
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1306
862
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