Tems News

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Jul 25, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4%chance

653952339108

OptionVotes

YES

87673

14856

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Jan 3, 4:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.36%chance

5601850477

OptionVotes

YES

30875

6590

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.38%chance

8171749945

OptionVotes

YES

21247

11132

Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

Oct 13, 5:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.42%chance

1708346661

OptionVotes

YES

13837

6616

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Sep 11, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.5%chance

68584940

OptionVotes

YES

19532

10508

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

May 30, 1:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.86%chance

2412320

OptionVotes

YES

19228

6142

Will Portland, Oregon have a daily high temperature of 104F (40C) or greater in 2024? 🌡

Feb 20, 6:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.32%chance

25866

OptionVotes

YES

6478

5608

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Jan 3, 4:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.65%chance

12695431

OptionVotes

YES

6280

1307

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.22%chance

13989315

OptionVotes

YES

32920

629

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Jul 26, 2:45 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.16%chance

154498919

OptionVotes

YES

8208

921

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Aug 2, 10:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.63%chance

156143873

OptionVotes

YES

8276

848

Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?

Aug 3, 4:45 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

4.13%chance

9656425

OptionVotes

YES

8681

446

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Tems News

Prediction markets for Tems

Prediction markets for Tems

Prediction markets for Tems

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

Will Portland, Oregon have a daily high temperature of 104F (40C) or greater in 2024? 🌡

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Tems

Prediction markets for Tems

Prediction markets for Tems

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will any major urban areas be rendered uninhabitable due to wet bulb temperatures by 2050?

Will Portland, Oregon have a daily high temperature of 104F (40C) or greater in 2024? 🌡