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Storm News
Prediction markets for Storm
Prediction markets for Storm
Will a solar storm at least as powerful as the Carrington Event hit Earth before superintelligence is created?
Feb 29, 12:57 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
31.21%
chance
18
467
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1148
916
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
Oct 26, 11:39 PM
Nov 3, 3:59 AM
45%
chance
23
753
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1043
925
Will Ukraine use British Storm Shadow cruise missiles to attack the Kerch Bridge?
May 13, 1:32 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
23.87%
chance
57
6423
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1730
597
Will a Carrington-like event solar storm hit Earth before 2030?
Mar 19, 11:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.34%
chance
11
495
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1021
976
Will the US Capitol be stormed in 2024?
Jan 9, 6:23 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14.22%
chance
31
1777
Option
Votes
YES
NO
995
971
What will be the number of named storms during the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
Feb 6, 3:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
25
15340
If Biden is elected in 2024, will >4 people be arrested trying to storm the Capitol during the EC vote count again?
Jan 26, 9:22 PM
Nov 6, 2:59 AM
22.11%
chance
9
193
Option
Votes
YES
NO
259
128
When will a tropical storm be named Chris in 2024?
Jun 28, 2:59 PM
Jul 29, 6:59 AM
8
2561
When will a tropical storm be named Aletta in 2024?
Jun 19, 8:05 PM
Jul 5, 6:59 AM
5
1767
Will Tropical Storm Hone form (in the Central Pacific) before Jan 1, 2025?
Oct 15, 11:10 PM
Jan 2, 8:59 AM
29.99%
chance
5
76
Option
Votes
YES
NO
182
99
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Mar 19, 1:06 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.34%
chance
8
244
Option
Votes
YES
NO
212
203
🎓 🏀 Will the NCAA establish any new policy or penalty related to court storming prior to the 2024-2025 season?
Feb 25, 1:15 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 AM
47.54%
chance
9
102
Option
Votes
YES
NO
208
182
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