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Starc News
Prediction markets for Starc
Prediction markets for Starc
By 2030, AI can beat the best human Starcraft 2 players at least 50% of the time, given a video of the screen.
Jan 5, 11:05 AM
Jan 12, 6:29 PM
78.03%
chance
24
915
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1036
973
Will Stormgate eSport viewership exceed that of Starcraft 2 in 2026?
Oct 17, 3:28 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
49.22%
chance
10
338
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1042
921
Will AI generate an appropriate remix (that sounds wonderful and not horrible enough [by reddit/my/the Internet's standards]) of the AOE2 and Starcraft 2 theme songs by 2026?
Jan 7, 2:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
83.64%
chance
13
250
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1161
943
Will Paul Christiano play Starcraft 2 again and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?
Apr 29, 2:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.58%
chance
1
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
48
Will an open-source model beat a pro player in Starcraft 2 in 2024?
Dec 1, 2:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26.74%
chance
3
84
Option
Votes
YES
NO
112
73
Can Jose Luis Ricon crack 140APM in Starcraft II in 2024?
Jan 4, 6:20 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Will the Star Wars Galactic Starcruiser be repuropsed as a conventional Star Wars hotel and/or restaurant by Oct 1,2025?
May 18, 8:39 PM
Sep 30, 11:59 PM
36.62%
chance
6
65
Option
Votes
YES
NO
138
88
Will Jacob Steinhardt play Starcraft 2 again and place as Gold League or higher by 2030?
Apr 29, 2:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Will Stormgate's prize pool money exceed that of Starcraft 2 in 2026?
Feb 27, 12:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
20%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
200
50
Would Anthropic win in Starcraft2 match between the best players of the Anthropic team and those of the OpenAI team?
Mar 12, 7:43 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.67%
chance
3
31
Option
Votes
YES
NO
150
97
If Jacob Steinhardt 1v1'd Paul Christiano in Starcraft 2, would he win?
Feb 11, 5:43 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45%
chance
0
5
Option
Votes
YES
NO
55
45
By 2030, AI can beat the best human Starcraft 2 players at least 50% of the time, given a video of the screen.
Jan 5, 11:05 AM
7
0
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