Stallings News

Will LLM progress stall in 2024?

Feb 9, 7:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.07%chance

232731

OptionVotes

YES

2135

857

Will ChatGPT get the Monty Stall problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?

Dec 4, 1:43 AMDec 2, 5:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Will copyright be what ultimately stall the development of AGI by 2025 year end?

Jan 1, 7:06 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.05%chance

7123

OptionVotes

YES

245

117

Last Longer Schwarzenegger Vs Stallone

Jun 13, 4:18 PMJun 20, 4:18 PM

65.91%chance

450

OptionVotes

YES

128

Will Sylvester Stallone ever play the part of Rocky Balboa in a movie again?

Dec 11, 10:01 PMJul 8, 10:59 PM

49.04%chance

6118

OptionVotes

YES

162

128

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Sep 29, 12:47 PMOct 7, 3:59 AM

24.88%chance

8153

OptionVotes

YES

230

138

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?

May 17, 8:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.13%chance

311900

OptionVotes

YES

1523

657

Will an effective cure for Keratoconus exist by 2040

Nov 19, 12:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.54%chance

16258

OptionVotes

YES

1082

961

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?

May 17, 8:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.43%chance

131516

OptionVotes

YES

2037

491

Are we about to hit another AI winter?

Feb 16, 9:56 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18.56%chance

15018895

OptionVotes

YES

1039

660

Will I drop out of college?

Oct 17, 12:49 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

90%chance

404180

OptionVotes

YES

2161

534

Will BCI enable human-monke communication by 2034?

Aug 2, 10:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

35.59%chance

5105

OptionVotes

YES

160

125

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Stallings News

Prediction markets for Stallings

Prediction markets for Stallings

Prediction markets for Stallings

Will LLM progress stall in 2024?

Will ChatGPT get the Monty *Stall* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?

Will copyright be what ultimately stall the development of AGI by 2025 year end?

Last Longer Schwarzenegger Vs Stallone

Will Sylvester Stallone ever play the part of Rocky Balboa in a movie again?

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?

Will an effective cure for Keratoconus exist by 2040

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?

Are we about to hit another AI winter?

Will I drop out of college?

Will BCI enable human-monke communication by 2034?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Stallings

Prediction markets for Stallings

Prediction markets for Stallings

Will LLM progress stall in 2024?

Will ChatGPT get the Monty *Stall* problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?

Will copyright be what ultimately stall the development of AGI by 2025 year end?

Last Longer Schwarzenegger Vs Stallone

Will Sylvester Stallone ever play the part of Rocky Balboa in a movie again?

Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?

Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?

Will ChatGPT get the Monty Stall problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?

Will ChatGPT get the Monty Stall problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024?