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Prediction markets for Spo

Was Ilya spooked by a capabilities advance?

Nov 20, 3:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.09%chance

431117693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8760

2114

Who will be my most Streamed Spotify Artist 2024

Mar 3, 10:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

223625

🎵 By 2026, will any fully AI-generated song hit the Billboard Hot 100 or Spotify Top 50 for at least one week?

Mar 27, 3:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.42%chance

763530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

773

Will a professional sports franchise use Brier Fox to launch a prediction market for fans during 2024?

Jan 31, 3:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.88%chance

14265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1161

947

Will Manifold either disallow taking orders via the API on sports questions, or enable creators to disallow that?

Dec 2, 2:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.44%chance

312146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

1038

Will Joe Biden say the word “Cricket” (as it relates to the sport) in public any time in 2024?

Mar 6, 3:56 PMDec 31, 1:59 PM

43.68%chance

322329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

932

Will Spotify remain the most popular music streaming platform in the US at the end of 2027?

Jan 11, 4:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.54%chance

10120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

960

Will Chappell Roan reach >35 million monthly listeners on Spotify during July? (Current: 26M, up from 1M in January)

Jun 29, 10:54 PMJul 18, 6:59 AM

64%chance

5615

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

750

Will Ethereum break all time highs before the first Ether spot ETF is listed publicly in US markets.

May 27, 11:09 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.74%chance

61129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

666

Will Spotify add a second AI DJ to their service in 2024?

Dec 31, 3:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.61%chance

20314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

974

Will more than one world-class winning team in a competitive, physical sport remove rote repetition from their training in favor of an ecological approach to training by 2042?

Dec 23, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52%chance

10280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

974

Will sports betting be legal in at least 40 states by the end of 2024?

Apr 7, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.58%chance

18493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

946

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