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Prediction markets for Seri

Will author Steven Brust complete the Dragaera series by the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 5:48 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

65.65%chance

175209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13826

7233

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.47%chance

13111981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2969

2380

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?

Feb 27, 12:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.2%chance

21339153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4702

1324

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027?

Feb 27, 12:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 AM

79.16%chance

13826215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3817

2915

What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?

Feb 24, 11:34 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

425198

Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?

Aug 23, 10:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

442902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

934

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?

Feb 27, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.62%chance

7310882

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1667

955

Will a new Animal Crossing main series title be announced before 2025?

Mar 29, 6:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

30.6%chance

31824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1537

738

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.89%chance

392017

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1661

1183

Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?

Oct 4, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.88%chance

689521

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1049

930

Will more than 40 teams participate in the first round of the AI Forecasting Benchmark Series?

Jun 21, 12:39 AMJul 8, 6:59 AM

45.39%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

912

Will a Rocket League bot team (of 3 car) beat a team of 3 professional human players in a typical series in 2024?

May 31, 9:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.89%chance

9790

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1131

884

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