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Scott Smalls News
Top stories
'The Sandlot' Actor Thomas Guiry Arrested in South Carolina for Allegedly Damaging Neighbor's Jeep with Dumbbell, Ordered to Pay $757 Fine
Authors
14
12 days
Celebrities
Culture
Prediction markets for Scott Smalls
Prediction markets for Scott Smalls
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Feb 20, 10:42 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
78.7%
chance
223
29036
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3130
1759
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
Will the name of Nintendo's next console include a number?
Aug 4, 9:19 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
24.35%
chance
46
2138
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1125
937
Which gaming companies will shut down by end 2030?
Feb 28, 9:04 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
3602
Which gaming companies will layoff 20%+ of their workforce by end 2026?
Feb 28, 9:53 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
18
1264
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Apr 16, 3:28 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
90
12863
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
Jun 18, 3:15 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
3.83%
chance
54
3153
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1243
956
Articles
Latest stories
'The Sandlot' Actor Thomas Guiry Arrested in South Carolina for Allegedly Damaging Neighbor's Jeep with Dumbbell, Ordered to Pay $757 Fine
Authors
14
12 days
Celebrities
Culture
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