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Sam West News
Prediction markets for Sam West
Prediction markets for Sam West
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think AI-caused extinction is more likely?
Jan 30, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
53.16%
chance
47
3401
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1127
758
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?
Mar 3, 1:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
62.32%
chance
30
802
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1010
978
Will Jeremy Hunt lose his seat at the next general election?
May 7, 11:41 AM
Mar 1, 12:00 PM
69.27%
chance
13
427
Option
Votes
NO
YES
204
73
How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?
Mar 30, 6:09 PM
Jan 2, 1:29 PM
22
1126
Articles
Latest stories
British Tourist in Intensive Care After Snake Bite During Meditation in Cyprus
Authors
6
3 months
Britain
World
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