Roos News

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Jul 25, 8:53 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4%chance

653952339108

OptionVotes

YES

87673

14856

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Jan 3, 4:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.36%chance

5601850477

OptionVotes

YES

30875

6590

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.38%chance

8171749945

OptionVotes

YES

21247

11132

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Sep 11, 2:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.5%chance

68584940

OptionVotes

YES

19532

10508

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Jan 3, 4:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.65%chance

12695431

OptionVotes

YES

6280

1307

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

4.22%chance

13989315

OptionVotes

YES

32920

629

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

95.18%chance

306603

OptionVotes

YES

4444

225

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Jul 26, 2:45 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5.16%chance

154498919

OptionVotes

YES

8208

921

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Aug 2, 10:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.63%chance

156143873

OptionVotes

YES

8276

848

Will Roon turn against OpenAI in 2024?

May 21, 6:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.62%chance

3119698

OptionVotes

YES

2519

397

Is any Silly Roon Tweet from 2024 actually cool insider info about OpenAI?

Mar 16, 6:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.68%chance

21647

OptionVotes

YES

1037

802

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

26.18%chance

241323

OptionVotes

YES

1000

937

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Roos News

Prediction markets for Roos

Prediction markets for Roos

Prediction markets for Roos

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Will Roon turn against OpenAI in 2024?

Is any Silly Roon Tweet from 2024 actually cool insider info about OpenAI?

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Roos

Prediction markets for Roos

Prediction markets for Roos

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the Meissner effect be confirmed near room temperature in copper-substituted lead apatite?

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?