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Prediction markets for RFK JR

Will RFK Jr. be elected President of the United States in 2024?

Apr 2, 2:20 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

3.48%chance

2410194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

959

928

Will the independent run of RFK Jr hurt Democrats more than Republicans?

Sep 30, 10:04 AMNov 11, 4:59 AM

45%chance

25025271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2001

1240

Will RFK Jr. finish second in any state in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Jun 14, 5:45 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

18.5%chance

329653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2099

476

Will RFK Jr. win more than 10% of the vote in any state or district in the 2024 presidential election?

Feb 18, 11:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

58%chance

939247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

286

Will RFK Jr. reach 5 percent of the national popular vote in the 2024 election?

Mar 22, 11:05 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

45.7%chance

616800

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1254

529

Will RFK Jr. get at least 5 percent of the national popular vote?

Apr 12, 8:18 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

43%chance

464843

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1168

660

Will RFK Jr. get more than 5% of the popular vote in the Nov 2024 US Election?

Oct 9, 7:06 PMNov 7, 4:59 AM

41.42%chance

292076

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1176

579

Will RFK Jr. get above 5% in the 2024 Presidential election?

Oct 16, 9:30 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

46.67%chance

392666

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1245

497

Will RFK Jr. win at least 1 state elector in the US 2024 Presidential Election

Oct 24, 10:35 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

16.99%chance

181559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1230

933

Will RFK Jr. be polling above 10% on October 1st, 2024?

Mar 11, 6:50 AMOct 3, 3:59 AM

32.88%chance

18918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

918

RFK jr will take more votes from Biden than from Trump

Jan 12, 12:36 PMNov 21, 4:59 AM

54.7%chance

10202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

957

Will RFK Jr. be approved for Secret Service protection before August 2024?

May 20, 1:57 AMAug 1, 3:59 AM

20.51%chance

194497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1968

508

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