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Top stories

Philadelphia Union's Gazdag, Donovan, and McGlynn Shine in 3-2 Victory Over Chicago Fire
Authors
6
6 hours
Soccer
Sports

Prediction markets for Rafa

If Israel invades Rafah, will they have a reasonable plan for evacuating civilians from there?

Mar 5, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.52%chance

494596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1531

453

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

May 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.59%chance

302187

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1350

740

Will Israel control Rafah by the end of July?

Apr 3, 3:57 PMAug 1, 4:59 AM

36.81%chance

839247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

705

Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement?

Feb 7, 5:46 AMDec 1, 6:29 PM

5.94%chance

468663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3449

641

Will Israel control Rafah by the end of September?

Apr 18, 12:56 PMOct 1, 4:59 AM

87.9%chance

161041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1259

913

Will there be credible reporting that Israel strikes on Rafah were planned to overlap with Super Bowl (Aug 2024 limit)

Feb 12, 8:29 AMAug 1, 9:59 PM

11.52%chance

13301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

951

How many more Tournaments will Rafael Nadal play before retirement?

Apr 26, 5:39 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.78%chance

121175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

745

Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand?

May 1, 1:15 AMOct 1, 3:59 AM

66.45%chance

470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

122

Will Egypt open the Rafah crossing in 2024?

Jun 11, 8:56 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

5.8%chance

7356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

403

25

How many people will cross from Gaza into Egypt through the Rafah crossing by the end of 2024

Nov 11, 6:25 AMJan 14, 4:59 PM

152791

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the 2025 presidential elections in Poland?

Nov 7, 6:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.56%chance

7243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

117

Relationship of @Kathypot & @RafaelBittar

Jan 17, 1:28 PMOct 13, 1:28 PM

31300

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