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Prediction markets for Pan
Prediction markets for Pan
Will the Bonobo (Pan paniscus) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 21, 12:04 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
37.45%
chance
13
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1001
995
Will the Chimpanzee (Pan troglodytes) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 21, 11:49 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
16.8%
chance
20
894
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1539
845
When will a pan-coronavirus vaccine be available to healthy members of the united states public?
Mar 8, 12:30 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
5
389
Will Ceramic non-stick pans be relevant in 2030?
Apr 20, 9:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
58.42%
chance
8
77
Option
Votes
NO
YES
524
427
Will I ride with my company team in the Pan Mass Challenge in August 2024?
Jan 10, 1:41 AM
Aug 31, 3:59 AM
95.16%
chance
5
421
Option
Votes
NO
YES
471
21
When will a pan-coronavirus vaccine be available to healthy members of the united states public?
Mar 8, 12:27 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
1
0
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
Feb 5, 9:16 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 AM
47.96%
chance
24
2286
Option
Votes
NO
YES
10017
9890
Who will win the Men's Bouldering & Lead Climbing Gold Medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics?
Oct 29, 9:16 PM
Aug 10, 5:59 AM
17
1722
What will be true of the partner or partners in my next romantic relationship?
Jun 18, 3:03 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
4
183
On release, which of these prompts will OpenAI's Sora follow without obvious flaws?
Feb 15, 9:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
43
1792
Which 10 sub-$100 purchases will most significantly improve my quality of life in 2024? [Add Suggestions]
Mar 26, 3:29 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
30
5121
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
Mar 3, 1:11 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.14%
chance
41
6608
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2334
1620
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