Palestinians News

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 11, 5:55 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

410171854

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.6%chance

575189

OptionVotes

YES

2503

2181

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 7, 11:35 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

12972052

[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Jan 3, 12:22 AMJan 1, 6:00 PM

33%chance

575072

OptionVotes

YES

1024

915

Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?

Dec 28, 6:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.84%chance

221462

OptionVotes

YES

1491

815

Will at least 100k Palestinians emigrate from the Gaza strip by EOY 2024?

Oct 14, 3:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.57%chance

599084

OptionVotes

YES

2989

307

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

May 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.59%chance

302187

OptionVotes

YES

1350

740

Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?

Oct 9, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.15%chance

362117

OptionVotes

YES

993

914

Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip drop below 2,000,000 before 2025?

Oct 9, 2:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23%chance

618943

OptionVotes

YES

1181

915

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Oct 22, 5:33 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.83%chance

241808

OptionVotes

YES

1252

901

Will Israel accomplish their goal to push the Palestinians in to Sinai, Egypt ?

Dec 22, 1:47 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

21.93%chance

20457

OptionVotes

YES

1107

954

Will the Palestinians be genocided?

Nov 5, 9:25 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

20.25%chance

19584

OptionVotes

YES

1028

978

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Palestinians News

Prediction markets for Palestinians

Prediction markets for Palestinians

Prediction markets for Palestinians

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?

Will at least 100k Palestinians emigrate from the Gaza strip by EOY 2024?

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?

Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?

Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip drop below 2,000,000 before 2025?

Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?

Will Israel accomplish their goal to push the Palestinians in to Sinai, Egypt ?

Will the Palestinians be genocided?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Palestinians

Prediction markets for Palestinians

Prediction markets for Palestinians

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?

Will at least 100k Palestinians emigrate from the Gaza strip by EOY 2024?

Did the explosive May 26 2024 Rafah strike by Israel hit a Palestinian weapons cache?