Pages News

Will Manifold's U.S. Elections page crash during election night?

Jan 26, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.45%chance

16651

OptionVotes

YES

10102

9908

Will Manifold's U.S. Election page have technical difficulties during election night?

Jan 26, 9:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84%chance

13669

OptionVotes

YES

1179

937

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.15%chance

7099226

OptionVotes

YES

4663

1243

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

Aug 8, 8:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.65%chance

23985

OptionVotes

YES

1595

1306

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Feb 28, 8:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14635229

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Nov 4, 7:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70.28%chance

12611

OptionVotes

YES

1029

894

Will the 2024 TIME person of the year have an IMDB page?

Mar 14, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69%chance

12282

OptionVotes

YES

1056

962

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

Jan 7, 8:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

42.92%chance

17822

OptionVotes

YES

1097

737

will dingboard.com have a wikipedia page before 2025?

Apr 8, 11:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

45.13%chance

24793

OptionVotes

YES

1036

936

Should Beeminder collect payment info without redirecting to a Stripe page?

Feb 22, 10:08 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.55%chance

14357

OptionVotes

YES

1184

900

Sergey Brin or Larry Page returns to a daily leadership role at Google/Alphabet before end of 2025

Mar 26, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.36%chance

11424

OptionVotes

YES

1162

944

Will the Wikipedia page for India be renamed to Bharat or Bharata by the end of 2024?

Sep 5, 11:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.31%chance

251090

OptionVotes

YES

1297

918

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Pages News

Prediction markets for Pages

Prediction markets for Pages

Prediction markets for Pages

Will Manifold's U.S. Elections page crash during election night?

Will Manifold's U.S. Election page have technical difficulties during election night?

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Will the 2024 TIME person of the year have an IMDB page?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

will dingboard.com have a wikipedia page before 2025?

Should Beeminder collect payment info without redirecting to a Stripe page?

Sergey Brin or Larry Page returns to a daily leadership role at Google/Alphabet before end of 2025

Will the Wikipedia page for India be renamed to Bharat or Bharata by the end of 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Pages

Prediction markets for Pages

Prediction markets for Pages

Will Manifold's U.S. Elections page crash during election night?

Will Manifold's U.S. Election page have technical difficulties during election night?

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Will the New York Times Magazine kill their variety puzzle page by end of 2024? [M$1000 subsidy]

What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Will the 2024 TIME person of the year have an IMDB page?

How long until AI can generate original pages of an "I Spy" style picture book?

will dingboard.com have a wikipedia page before 2025?