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Prediction markets for Olympia

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?

Feb 26, 6:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23%chance

19241631677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8937

7483

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?

Mar 23, 6:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

70%chance

6352089

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

842

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?

Sep 26, 9:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

12932009

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1950

1438

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?

Apr 23, 11:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47%chance

375660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?

Jul 23, 1:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.42%chance

12725778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1557

944

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

May 26, 11:35 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

416151

Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?

Sep 26, 12:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

58.6%chance

8839849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1471

784

Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?

Apr 9, 11:42 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

50%chance

352915

OptionVotes

NO

YES

979

962

Will AI get at least bronze on the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by 2026?

Aug 9, 4:47 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

38.02%chance

452820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

509

Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?

Aug 9, 4:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.16%chance

493386

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1813

586

Will China win the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) 2024

May 18, 1:39 AMJul 23, 9:59 PM

90.65%chance

446208

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3410

381

China will win and the US will finish second in the 2024 International Math Olympiad

Jan 16, 6:20 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

58.41%chance

412747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1161

844

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Latest stories

Celebrities including Cara Delevingne, Princess Olympia of Greece Attend Lady Lola Bute's Lavish 25th Birthday Party in Scotland
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4
2 months
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