Norma News

All Upcoming UFC Fights Megamarket

Mar 31, 6:01 PMNov 11, 1:29 PM

2745743

Will my posture be essentially normal in a year (on January 17, 2025)?

Jan 18, 4:08 PMJan 18, 7:59 AM

40.74%chance

10874

OptionVotes

YES

2758

1733

Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?

Sep 5, 2:19 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

74.15%chance

1057988

OptionVotes

YES

2961

2591

Will philosophers accept or lean towards consequentialism once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

Mar 17, 12:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.88%chance

697492

OptionVotes

YES

1307

1043

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Mar 27, 1:03 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20.77%chance

282347

OptionVotes

YES

1187

920

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.23%chance

331272

OptionVotes

YES

1225

917

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Sep 24, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30.08%chance

341837

OptionVotes

YES

1039

876

Will philosophers accept or lean towards virtue ethics once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

Mar 17, 12:14 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.47%chance

261790

OptionVotes

YES

1048

961

Will Norman Finkelstein be a guest on Lex Fridman podcast by the end of 2024?

Nov 22, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.21%chance

101030

OptionVotes

YES

1019

977

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Mar 28, 5:23 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

20.97%chance

353826

OptionVotes

YES

1183

912

Will Saudi Arabia normalise relations with Israel before 2025?

Mar 3, 10:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.54%chance

181270

OptionVotes

YES

1197

912

Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030

May 17, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

501214

OptionVotes

YES

1192

791

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Norma News

Prediction markets for Norma

Prediction markets for Norma

Prediction markets for Norma

All Upcoming UFC Fights Megamarket

Will my posture be essentially normal in a year (on January 17, 2025)?

Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?

Will philosophers accept or lean towards consequentialism once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?

Will philosophers accept or lean towards virtue ethics once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

Will Norman Finkelstein be a guest on Lex Fridman podcast by the end of 2024?

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Will Saudi Arabia normalise relations with Israel before 2025?

Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Norma

Prediction markets for Norma

Prediction markets for Norma

All Upcoming UFC Fights Megamarket

Will my posture be essentially normal in a year (on January 17, 2025)?

Will the 2024 US Presidential election happen normally?

Will philosophers accept or lean towards consequentialism once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?