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Prediction markets for Noam

Will Noam Chomsky be alive at the end of 2024?

Mar 22, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.4%chance

274121677

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1363

582

Will Noam Chomsky live to see an Israel-Palestine ceasefire?

Jun 14, 1:51 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

34.93%chance

6523426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

733

Will Noam Chomsky get a black bar on hnews when he passes away

May 12, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

25.05%chance

141094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1774

520

Will Noam Chomsky live long enough to see Luffy find the One Piece?

Feb 14, 5:19 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.96%chance

3217966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2193

742

Will Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)

Apr 20, 11:11 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

4.7%chance

179824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4563

500

Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?

Feb 29, 1:44 AMDec 9, 4:59 AM

5.22%chance

2511953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2758

773

Will Noam Chomsky publicly admit his theory of linguistics is mostly wrong before turning 100?

Apr 13, 2:26 AMDec 7, 8:01 AM

1.12%chance

4012072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8282

740

Will Noam Chomsky be dead at market close?

Jun 19, 2:18 AMJul 2, 6:59 AM

2.8%chance

7493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

589

17

Will Noam Chomsky live to see Jimmy Carter's funeral?

Jun 21, 4:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.26%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

89

Will Noam Chomsky AND Jimmy Carter live to see the AP call the next presidential election?

Jun 23, 3:41 AMDec 2, 4:59 AM

38.85%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

166

Will Noam Chomsky live to see Chat GPT 5 release?

Jun 22, 5:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.13%chance

5170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

504

493

Will James D. Watson outlive Noam Chomsky?

Aug 25, 12:50 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

84.88%chance

141854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

332

57

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