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Nevin News
Prediction markets for Nevin
Prediction markets for Nevin
Will researchers extract a novel program from the weights of an LLM into a Procedural/OO programming language by 2026?
Apr 22, 4:06 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
26.15%
chance
10
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
945
Is Boeing killing whistleblowers?
May 2, 8:48 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
8.7%
chance
26
2329
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2069
815
Will there be a credible (see details) announcement of human multiplex gene editing (≥5 genomic loci) pre 2026?
Apr 22, 3:01 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
34.03%
chance
5
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
249
166
Will the FDA update their regulation on the labeling of trans fat content ≤0.5 g to "Trans Fat - 0 g" by 2026?
Apr 22, 3:24 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
43.26%
chance
1
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
107
Do implanted brain-computer interfaces get put in anyone for reasons other than a medical treatment by 2026?
May 2, 2:26 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
30.6%
chance
7
107
Option
Votes
YES
NO
151
66
Will researchers discover unintended presence or utilization of steganography in LLM outputs by 2026? [Gwern's Idea]
Apr 23, 8:37 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
36.87%
chance
5
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
219
151
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8
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6
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