Munn News

Olivia Munn & John Mulaney Attend Vogue World: Paris with 82 Diamonds, Mulaney Supports Munn Amid Health Struggles & Marital Status Speculations
Authors
5
8 days
France
Health
Celebrities

Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?

Nov 15, 1:42 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

276935

Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years?

Jun 19, 8:13 PMJun 20, 6:59 AM

82.3%chance

4317441

OptionVotes

YES

9907

8702

Will existential risk from AI be a topic during the 2024 US presidential debates?

Jun 7, 10:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.55%chance

795766

OptionVotes

YES

2728

939

Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?

Dec 30, 3:53 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.05%chance

644510

OptionVotes

YES

1365

406

Will I drop out of college?

Jan 18, 2:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.2%chance

131211

OptionVotes

YES

1032

978

Will I get an emergent ventures grant?

Oct 31, 7:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

10250

OptionVotes

YES

1143

924

Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?

Jun 5, 11:00 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.84%chance

11294

OptionVotes

YES

1170

901

Will I consistently work weekends in 10 years?

Sep 18, 3:46 AMSep 18, 6:59 AM

31.95%chance

17369

OptionVotes

YES

1134

925

Will Sergiy Velychko win a Nobel prize for his work on super-SOX by 2035?

Jun 14, 6:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.95%chance

71334

OptionVotes

YES

2295

436

Will Manifold release a Manifold.Love app by EOY 2024?

Jan 2, 4:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.52%chance

151131

OptionVotes

YES

1580

816

Will RFK Jr. endorse the GOP nominee during a prime time speaking slot at the 2024 RNC?

Jul 3, 7:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5%chance

131477

OptionVotes

YES

1897

854

Will Twitter buy Manifold before EOY 2024?

Oct 24, 7:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.39%chance

12587

OptionVotes

YES

1291

949

Latest stories

Olivia Munn & John Mulaney Attend Vogue World: Paris with 82 Diamonds, Mulaney Supports Munn Amid Health Struggles & Marital Status Speculations
Authors
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Munn News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Munn

Prediction markets for Munn

Prediction markets for Munn

Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?

Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years?

Will existential risk from AI be a topic during the 2024 US presidential debates?

Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?

Will I drop out of college?

Will I get an emergent ventures grant?

Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?

Will I consistently work weekends in 10 years?

Will Sergiy Velychko win a Nobel prize for his work on super-SOX by 2035?

Will Manifold release a Manifold.Love app by EOY 2024?

Will RFK Jr. endorse the GOP nominee during a prime time speaking slot at the 2024 RNC?

Will Twitter buy Manifold before EOY 2024?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Munn

Prediction markets for Munn

Prediction markets for Munn

Who will be hired by Manifold before 2025?

Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years?

Will existential risk from AI be a topic during the 2024 US presidential debates?

Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?

Will I drop out of college?