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Politics

What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th?

Apr 22, 6:02 PMJul 5, 7:00 PM

13139746

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.5%chance

13171

OptionVotes

YES

1003

990

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

42.51%chance

11114

OptionVotes

YES

1005

986

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

61.3%chance

15398

OptionVotes

YES

1110

903

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:06 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

64.69%chance

5110

OptionVotes

YES

356

226

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:49 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

71.62%chance

9157

OptionVotes

YES

349

217

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.67%chance

8142

OptionVotes

YES

331

228

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 6:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.09%chance

696

OptionVotes

YES

281

157

Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 3:04 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.32%chance

535

OptionVotes

YES

233

214

Will space governance / space colonization get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:20 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

12.75%chance

8304

OptionVotes

YES

489

177

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

28.69%chance

568

OptionVotes

YES

244

152

Will S-risk prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 3:56 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.83%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

257

133

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Prediction markets for Melinda Gates

Prediction markets for Melinda Gates

What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will approval voting, quadratic funding, liquid democracy, etc, get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will space governance / space colonization get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will S-risk prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

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Top stories

Prediction markets for Melinda Gates

Prediction markets for Melinda Gates

Prediction markets for Melinda Gates

What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before July 4th?

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will mental-health / subjective-wellbeing interventions in LMIC get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will farmed-invertebrate welfare (shrimp, insects, octopi, etc) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?