Mays News

Giants Honor Willie Mays with Tribute and Walk-Off Victory; Public Celebration on July 8
Authors
15
4 days
San Francisco
MLB
Obituary
Baseball Legend Willie Mays Dies, Could Have Surpassed Babe Ruth's Home Run Record Without Military Service
Authors
5
12 days
Culture

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

May 21, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.58%chance

6211420

OptionVotes

YES

3265

306

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

95.18%chance

306603

OptionVotes

YES

4444

225

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Dec 5, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.49%chance

607372

OptionVotes

YES

1191

994

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

Apr 10, 3:54 PMNov 1, 4:00 AM

9443660

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

11373

OptionVotes

YES

993

978

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

May 23, 1:04 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

87.86%chance

305941

OptionVotes

YES

2690

372

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

75.03%chance

362074

OptionVotes

YES

1733

577

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

73.5%chance

494207

OptionVotes

YES

1666

600

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

May 5, 2:48 PMMay 6, 3:59 AM

60.02%chance

17868

OptionVotes

YES

1139

705

Will xAI have a model within 50 points of the leading model on the LMSYS leaderboard before May 2025?

May 27, 7:15 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

40.12%chance

12998

OptionVotes

YES

1222

819

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

68.31%chance

16561

OptionVotes

YES

1035

889

The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

May 19, 4:48 PMMay 19, 6:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Latest stories

Giants Honor Willie Mays with Tribute and Walk-Off Victory; Public Celebration on July 8
Authors
15
4 days
San Francisco
MLB
Obituary
Baseball Legend Willie Mays Dies, Could Have Surpassed Babe Ruth's Home Run Record Without Military Service
Authors
5
12 days
Culture
Willie Mays Honored with Massive Mural Unveiling in Birmingham at 93
Authors
8
12 days
San Francisco
Politics
Legendary Giants Player Willie Mays Passes Away on June 19, 2024
Authors
4
12 days
San Francisco
Obituary
Politics
Baseball Legend Willie Mays, 93, Honored by Alabama Fans at Rickwood Field in Minor League Game
Authors
10
13 days
Sports
Barry Bonds Shares Heartfelt Tribute to Late Mentor Willie Mays
Authors
5
13 days
MLB
Sports
King Charles, Queen Camilla Celebrate RADA's 120th Anniversary with David Harewood, Cynthia Erivo, Daniel Mays
Authors
5
1 month
Britain
World
Willie Mays Celebrates 93rd Birthday, MLB Honors Career and 660 HRs
Authors
24
2 months
MLB
Sports
Baseball Legend Willie Mays Turns 93, Reflects on Negro Leagues Beginnings
Authors
12
2 months
MLB
Sports
Tributes Pour in for Flint Councilman Eric Mays Following His Passing
Authors
7
4 months
Culture
43-Year-Old DJ Killed in Chiefs Super Bowl Celebration, NFL Faces Suit
Authors
10
4 months
NFL
Sports
23-Year-Old Among Suspects Charged in Super Bowl Parade Shooting with Stolen Gun
Authors
55
4 months
Politics
Lyndell Mays' Family Starts GoFundMe After Parade Shooting Charge
Authors
10
4 months
Politics
KC Parade Shooting: Suspects Named, Mays' 'Stupid' Act, GoFundMe Raises $100
Authors
50
4 months
Politics
San Francisco Declares February 4th, 2024 as Willie Mays Day to Honor Baseball Legend
Authors
12
5 months
MLB
Sports
Lakers Sign Skylar Mays to Two-Way Deal, Mays Scores 7 Points in 5-Minute Debut against Portland
Authors
9
6 months
NBA
Sports

Mays News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Mays

Prediction markets for Mays

Prediction markets for Mays

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

Will xAI have a model within 50 points of the leading model on the LMSYS leaderboard before May 2025?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Mays

Prediction markets for Mays

Prediction markets for Mays

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?