May News

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May Urges Transparent Discussions on Allegations of Foreign Interference Report
Authors
17
10 days
Canada
World
James May Defends Comments on 'Oppressive' Pride Flags in London Amid Backlash
Authors
6
14 days
Culture

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

May 21, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.58%chance

6211420

OptionVotes

YES

3265

306

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

May 23, 1:08 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

95.18%chance

306603

OptionVotes

YES

4444

225

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Dec 5, 6:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.49%chance

607372

OptionVotes

YES

1191

994

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

Apr 10, 3:54 PMNov 1, 4:00 AM

9443660

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Feb 3, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.45%chance

11373

OptionVotes

YES

993

978

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

May 23, 1:04 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

87.86%chance

305941

OptionVotes

YES

2690

372

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

75.03%chance

362074

OptionVotes

YES

1733

577

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

73.5%chance

494207

OptionVotes

YES

1666

600

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

May 5, 2:48 PMMay 6, 3:59 AM

60.02%chance

17868

OptionVotes

YES

1139

705

Will xAI have a model within 50 points of the leading model on the LMSYS leaderboard before May 2025?

May 27, 7:15 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

40.12%chance

12998

OptionVotes

YES

1222

819

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

68.31%chance

16561

OptionVotes

YES

1035

889

The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

May 19, 4:48 PMMay 19, 6:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Latest stories

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May Urges Transparent Discussions on Allegations of Foreign Interference Report
Authors
17
10 days
Canada
World
Jagmeet Singh, Elizabeth May Criticize Trudeau; Liberal MPs Involved in Foreign Interference Report
Authors
11
13 days
Canada
World
Fed's Goolsbee Highlights Relief Over May CPI Data Amid Rising Delinquencies, Cooling Labor Market
Authors
4
14 days
Economics
Business
James May Defends Comments on 'Oppressive' Pride Flags in London Amid Backlash
Authors
6
14 days
Culture
Freeland Pledges Protection Amid Alleged Israeli Disinformation; NSICOP Report: May Confident No MPs Betrayed Canada
Authors
13
16 days
Israel
Canada
World
Elizabeth May Finds No Disloyal MPs in NSICOP Spy Watchdog Report
Authors
7
17 days
Canada
World
Ex-England Winger Jonny May Joins French PROD2 Club Soyaux-Angouleme from Gloucester
Authors
4
17 days
Rugby
Sports
Michigan Basketball's Dusty May Outlines Summer Plans, First Impressions, Hires K.T. Harrell
Authors
5
21 days
NCAA
Sports
Red Sox Place Chris Martin on 15-Day Injured List Due to Anxiety, Recall Zack Kelly
Authors
7
23 days
Boston
Politics
Author Carrie Courogen's 'Miss May Does Not Exist' Biography on Elaine May Released
Authors
4
25 days
Culture
Conservatives Lead Liberals by 15 Points in Latest Federal Polls; Poilievre Ahead in Quebec
Authors
4
30 days
Canada
World
Theresa May Admits Mistakes Over Grenfell and Windrush, Leaves Commons After 27 Years
Authors
7
1 month
Britain
World
Penrith Panthers' Taylan May Charged with Domestic Violence and Stalking
Authors
4
1 month
Australia
Crime
World
Theresa May Sees 'Every Chance' for Rishi Sunak to Remain PM, Praises Him
Authors
4
1 month
Britain
World
Michigan Basketball's Dusty May Reshapes Roster, Eyes Immediate Success
Authors
6
2 months
NCAA
Sports
FAU's Vlad Goldin, Averaging 15.9 Pts, Joins Michigan Basketball
Authors
9
2 months
NCAA
Sports
Chicago and New York Police Search for Missing Autistic Teen Chad May in Queens County
Authors
6
3 months
New York
Crime
Politics
Michigan's Dusty May Adds Special Assistant, Targets Five-Star Recruit Liam McNeely After De-commitment
Authors
5
3 months
Sports
Dusty May appointed as Michigan's new basketball coach, targets five-star recruit amid roster construction and staff changes
Authors
11
3 months
Chicago
Politics
Dusty May named Michigan men's basketball head coach, aims for success with Liam McNeely at Crisler Center
Authors
10
3 months
Chicago
Politics
Michigan Basketball Hires Dusty May, Embraces NIL, Outlines Rebuilding Vision for Successful First Year
Authors
5
3 months
Chicago
Politics
Dusty May Eyed by Louisville Amid FAU's Remarkable Run
Authors
9
3 months
NCAA
Sports
FAU Coach Dusty May a Top Contender for Louisville, Michigan, and Vanderbilt Jobs at Power Five Schools
Authors
9
3 months
NCAA
Sports
Broncos' Reece Walsh Suffers Facial Fracture, NRL Clears Taylan May, Kevin Walters Criticizes Decision
Authors
5
3 months
Rugby
Sports
Former UK PM Theresa May to Step Down as MP, Colleagues Laud Dedication and Integrity in the House of Commons
Authors
14
4 months
Britain
World
Britain's Second Female PM, Theresa May, to Resign After 27 Years, Credited with Modern Slavery Act
Authors
13
4 months
Britain
Crime
World
Theresa May to Step Down from British UK Parliament After 27-Year Career
Authors
23
4 months
Britain
World
Theresa May Ends 27-Year Career, Won't Stand in Next Election Amid Tory Exodus
Authors
66
4 months
Britain
Crime
World
Former UK PM Theresa May Reveals Jelly Babies as Go-to for Managing Type 1 Diabetes, NHS Expands Pilot
Authors
8
5 months
Britain
World
Russells Star in 'Monarch: Legacy of Monsters' Ep 7 with Godzilla, Clemons & Sawai
Authors
5
6 months
Culture
Saracens Thrash Newcastle Falcons 35-10, May Cited for Dangerous Tackle
Authors
5
8 months
Rugby
Sports
England Rugby Winger Jonny May, Second Top Try Scorer, Announces Retirement; Ben Youngs Also Retires
Authors
6
8 months
Rugby
Sports
England wing Jonny May, with 36 tries in 78 games, retires from international rugby
Authors
12
8 months
Rugby
Sports
Athletics Pitcher Trevor May Retires, Criticizes Owner John Fisher
Authors
10
8 months
MLB
Sports
Oakland A's Pitcher Trevor May Criticizes Team Owner John Fisher During Retirement Announcement
Authors
5
9 months
MLB
Sports

May News

Top stories

Prediction markets for May

Prediction markets for May

Prediction markets for May

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

Will xAI have a model within 50 points of the leading model on the LMSYS leaderboard before May 2025?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for May

Prediction markets for May

Prediction markets for May

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will AI existential risk be mentioned in the white house briefing room again by May 2029?

Eliezer Yudkowsky is impressed by a machine learning model, and believes that the model may be very helpful for alignment research, by the end of 2026

Which investment here will give the best return 6 months after May 1st 2024?

If Scott Alexander ask ACXers in 2030 whether any of them have had a good friend for more than a month who turned out to (unknown to them) be a chatbot, or who they strongly suspect may have been a chatbot, will fewer than 10% will say yes?

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2025? (May 5)

Will xAI have a model within 50 points of the leading model on the LMSYS leaderboard before May 2025?

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

The percent of Boba Tea drinkers in Cupertino with Chinese names goes up in the year to May 2025

Latest stories