Match News

UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches

Feb 19, 2:54 PMJul 15, 3:59 AM

5761462360

Will xAI release a model that matches or surpasses GPT4 performance in 2024?

May 28, 9:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.87%chance

8719782

OptionVotes

YES

2013

1109

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Jun 22, 1:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

23.24%chance

759497

OptionVotes

YES

1644

1355

Before 2026, Will DL systems outperform humans at describing a picture in words to make human mental images match it?

Jun 19, 12:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.46%chance

113656

OptionVotes

YES

1031

970

Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:53 AMJul 7, 4:59 AM

48.11%chance

12565

OptionVotes

YES

1039

963

Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul boxing match be rearranged and go ahead in 2024?

Jun 1, 1:46 PMDec 15, 11:59 PM

51.59%chance

14747

OptionVotes

YES

1032

969

Will Jake Paul and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2026?

Jul 28, 1:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.62%chance

10299

OptionVotes

YES

1051

972

Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?

Mar 22, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.55%chance

12330

OptionVotes

YES

1123

933

Will there be an expert-player-beating AI (eg in a x-of-5 match beats Viper/Daut/Hera) in Age of Empires II (AoE2) by 2025?

Oct 4, 2:38 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

31.94%chance

16451

OptionVotes

YES

1053

963

Will there be 20+ LLMs that match or outperform GPT-3.5's performance by the end of 2024?

Dec 18, 9:33 PMDec 31, 8:00 AM

88.53%chance

422293

OptionVotes

YES

2021

947

Will @ScottAlexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2026?

Apr 7, 11:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.99%chance

13427

OptionVotes

YES

1039

958

Will there be a televised match between a robot and a top-10 human tennis player by 2035?

Nov 23, 11:30 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM

50%chance

18423

OptionVotes

YES

1053

932

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Prediction markets for Match

UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches

Will xAI release a model that matches or surpasses GPT4 performance in 2024?

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Before 2026, Will DL systems outperform humans at describing a picture in words to make human mental images match it?

Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?

Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul boxing match be rearranged and go ahead in 2024?

Will Jake Paul and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2026?

Will a televised American Football match between teams of humanoid robots occur before 2035?

Will there be an expert-player-beating AI (eg in a x-of-5 match beats Viper/Daut/Hera) in Age of Empires II (AoE2) by 2025?

Will there be 20+ LLMs that match or outperform GPT-3.5's performance by the end of 2024?

Will @ScottAlexander post another article with a title that matches "The [disease] of [emotion]" before 2026?

Will there be a televised match between a robot and a top-10 human tennis player by 2035?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Match

Prediction markets for Match

Prediction markets for Match

UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches

Will xAI release a model that matches or surpasses GPT4 performance in 2024?

Will Elon Musk beat Mark Zuckerberg if they fight in a cage match?

Before 2026, Will DL systems outperform humans at describing a picture in words to make human mental images match it?

Will a synthetic biological intelligence system be developed that can match the intelligence of a bumblebee by 2030?

Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul boxing match be rearranged and go ahead in 2024?

Will Jake Paul and Logan Paul compete against one another in a boxing match before the end of 2026?