Lehmann News

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Apr 20, 1:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15%chance

8181750453

OptionVotes

YES

20466

11266

Will non-US stocks outperform US stocks in 2024?

Jul 17, 8:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.38%chance

634709

OptionVotes

YES

1991

633

Will value stocks outperform growth stocks in 2024?

Jul 17, 8:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.05%chance

11526

OptionVotes

YES

1101

933

Will the Manifest conference reoccur in 2025?

Jul 30, 1:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

80.02%chance

231006

OptionVotes

YES

1456

843

Will Israel's economy shrink in 2024?

Jul 26, 2:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.85%chance

181094

OptionVotes

YES

1164

904

Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?

Jul 15, 5:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.78%chance

131254

OptionVotes

YES

1348

832

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?

Jan 8, 6:04 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.88%chance

7109

OptionVotes

YES

392

389

Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Mar 28, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.47%chance

315

OptionVotes

YES

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2033?

Jan 8, 6:07 PMJan 15, 6:07 PM

39.43%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

316

306

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Mar 28, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.22%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

150

116

Will California pass a wealth tax in 2024?

Jan 11, 3:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.47%chance

8123

OptionVotes

YES

279

132

Will Mexico be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Aug 1, 3:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.8%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

140

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Lehmann News

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will non-US stocks outperform US stocks in 2024?

Will value stocks outperform growth stocks in 2024?

Will the Manifest conference reoccur in 2025?

Will Israel's economy shrink in 2024?

Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?

Will Ukraine be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2033?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will California pass a wealth tax in 2024?

Will Mexico be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Prediction markets for Lehmann

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Will non-US stocks outperform US stocks in 2024?

Will value stocks outperform growth stocks in 2024?

Will the Manifest conference reoccur in 2025?

Will Israel's economy shrink in 2024?

Will Tesla's market share of EVs sold in the US be above 50% in 2024?

What will the marginal US federal income tax rate on $1M taxable income be in 2026?