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Larry Summers News
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Sam Altman Announces GPT-5 Amid Hype and Risk Concerns
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Former President Trump Discusses Tariffs, Taxes on All-In Podcast
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Prediction markets for Larry Summers
Prediction markets for Larry Summers
Will Larry Summers publicly make a snarky comment about Paul Krugman and inflation in 2024?
Dec 30, 3:17 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
69%
chance
4
38
Option
Votes
NO
YES
117
72
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Nov 22, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
19
1909
Who will be Harvard University's next permanent president?
Dec 22, 4:56 AM
Mar 2, 6:59 AM
127
56936
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAi?
Jan 15, 11:17 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
11
545
Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors one year after Sam Altman's ouster?
Nov 18, 6:58 PM
Nov 19, 7:59 AM
113
46157
Who will be guests on the Lex Fridman podcast in 2024?
Dec 24, 9:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:29 PM
58
36726
Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,
Jan 16, 10:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
6
417
In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
Nov 24, 7:52 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
16
1042
Will the next Fed rate change be a hike?
Apr 10, 6:33 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3%
chance
17
17822
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1466
864
Will the US start using frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine’s military?
Sep 23, 3:04 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
91.1%
chance
35
3637
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2224
473
Will the "anti-cancel culture" university, UATX, have undergraduate students in Fall 2024?
Oct 29, 9:16 PM
Dec 21, 7:59 AM
42.85%
chance
6
77
Option
Votes
YES
NO
169
133
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