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Lacks News
Prediction markets for Lacks
Prediction markets for Lacks
Will Lighthaven shut down in 2024 due to lack of funds?
Jun 11, 6:55 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
10.35%
chance
58
40107
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2944
340
Will Elon Musk's "Q*/GPT-4 are AGI" lawsuit be dismissed for lack of standing?
Mar 3, 4:46 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7.29%
chance
18
3339
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3131
159
Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue?
Nov 18, 8:32 PM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
77.35%
chance
11
3705
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1046
973
Will AMF lack funding to implement effective initiatives before 2030?
Nov 13, 5:53 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50.71%
chance
13
196
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
903
The lack of objectivity will be the downfall of manifold
Nov 3, 10:07 PM
Dec 1, 10:59 PM
20%
chance
6
77
Option
Votes
YES
NO
100
25
If we encounter intelligent aliens, will they turn out to lack self-awareness? [read description]
Feb 11, 7:59 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
37.93%
chance
4
89
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
100
If AI doesn't destroy the world, will it be primarily because it lacked the means, motive, or opportunity?
Sep 9, 3:18 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
5
81
Will anyone join in Marc Andreessen's & John Carmac's Mea Culpa over their lack of resistance to 'woke' mobs.
Apr 13, 3:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
20
522
Do you see a problem with the lack of diversity among users on manifold?
Jun 26, 6:40 PM
6
0
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
Qualia: GPTs vs characters in dreams. Resolves when there is consensus on how to test for qualia (likely never haha)
Feb 28, 11:23 AM
Mar 4, 4:59 AM
2
11
What causes Manifold Love to fail? (Resolves to multiple answers)
Apr 2, 2:17 AM
Dec 31, 1:29 PM
10
2556
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Henrietta Lacks Family Allowed to Sue Ultragenyx for Compensation in Maryland Over Unjust Enrichment
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1 month
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